NFL Futures Player Props Exposure At Bovada
A quarterback has won the NFL MVP award five straight seasons and nine of the past 11 as the league has become more and more pass-heavy. Thus quarterbacks make up the Top 5 MVP favorites for 2012 at Bovada:
Green Bay - Aaron Rodgers (11/2)
New England - Tom Brady (7/1)
New Orleans - Drew Brees (15/2)
Denver - Peyton Manning (10/1)
Philadelphia - Michael Vick (12/1)
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Rodgers is the reigning league MVP and was the favorite going into last year. Manning and Brady have combined for six MVP awards, with Manning holding an NFL record with four. But the book isn't afraid of any of those Top 5 favorite winning this year. It is exposed most on Chicago's Jay Cutler at 20/1 - he has jumped from 25/1 with the heavy action.
The Bears have had just one NFL MVP in their storied history: Hall of Fame running back Walter Payton in 1977. Chicago has always been a team that relies on the run and its defense and has never had a 4,000-yard passer, but Cutler could become the first in 2012 with the additions of wide receiver Brandon Marshall from Miami and rookie Alshon Jeffery.
Cutler's best season came in 2008 in Denver when Marshall was also on the Broncos. Cutler made his lone Pro Bowl that season by completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 4,526 yards and 25 touchdowns. The QB was traded the following offseason to the Bears.
Cutler hasn't had a true No. 1 receiver in Chicago with size and game-breaking ability, but the 6-foot-4, 230-pound Marshall certainly is that player. Marshall caught a career-high 104 passes for 1,265 yards in '08 with Cutler throwing to him. Marshall has had a least 80 catches for a minimum of 1,014 yards in each of the past five seasons. The Bears have had only 11 seasons where they have had a 1,000-yard receiver and not since Marty Booker in 2002.
More Bears Backing
Bettors really love the Bears in these player props as the book is most exposed on Marshall at 10/1 to have the most receiving yards in the NFL this season. Reigning yardage king Calvin Johnson of the Lions remains the 7/2 favorite but all the money on Marshall has moved him from 14/1 to a co-second favorite with Houston's Andre Johnson and Arizona's Larry Fitzgerald.
And staying with the Bears, the book is most exposed on Jeffery on the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds. Jeffery, a second-round pick, is another big target (6-foot-3) and has drawn mostly raves this preseason. He has jumped from 20/1 to 15/1 to be the top offensive rookie. The Colts' Andrew Luck remains the 9/4 favorite.
On the Defensive Rookie of the Year odds, the book is most exposed on Patriots defensive end Chandler Jones, a first-round pick out of Syracuse and younger brother of MMA star Jon Jones. Chandler Jones has jumped from 9/1 to 6/1 and the second favorite behind Panthers linebacker Luke Kuechly (9/2). Jones will start Week 1 for the Patriots and has shown enough to stay on the field on all three downs.
On the most rushing yards this season, Houston's Arian Foster is the 7/2 favorite. The knock against Foster is that he will share carries with Ben Tate, one of the best No. 2 backs in the NFL. The book is most exposed on Minnesota's Adrian Peterson at 14/1. Peterson, the 2008 rushing champion, is drawing major action despite suffering a severe knee injury late last season and not having played a down in the preseason as he works his way back.
On the most passing yards prop, Brees, who set the NFL single-season yardage mark last year, is the 9/2 favorite to win the passing crown for the fourth time in his career. The book is exposed on another NFC South quarterback: Atlanta's Matt Ryan at 18/1. Matty Ice threw for a career-high 4,177 yards last season, No. 8 in the NFL and 1,299 yards fewer than Brees.
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