NCAA Football Week 4 Live Betting Weekend Preview at Bovada
It's now apparent that as long as there is only one college football betting option on a given night that said game will be among the most-wagered each week at the book. Last Friday's lone NCAA game was between perennial losing programs Washington State and UNLV, but it still ranked among the Top 5 in total action at the book for the week.
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This Friday's game matches Baylor of the Big 12 and Louisiana-Monroe of the Sun Belt, and ULM has been arguably the most impressive "mid-major" team in 2012. The Bears are 7.5-point favorites at the book with a total of 68.
Baylor has been humming so far post-Robert Griffin III as the Bears rank in the Top 10 in the nation in passing, total and scoring (53.5 ppg) offense behind Griffin's replacement, Nick Florence. He has thrown for 653 yards and seven scores in two games, but it has come against less-than stellar competition: SMU and Sam Houston State.
Louisiana-Monroe pulled the shocker of the early season, winning in overtime at then-No. 8 Arkansas on Sept. 8. It was ULM's first win over a ranked team since joining the FBS 18 years ago. It was the Sun Belt's first win over a Top-10 team ever.
And the Warhawks proved it was no fluke, nearly winning at Auburn this past weekend. The Tigers won 31-28 in overtime; ULM's 37-yard kick to take the lead on its opening overtime possession was deflected. ULM's Kolton Browning is the best quarterback you may have never heard of. He has thrown for 649 yards and six scores while rushing for 127 yards and two touchdowns against SEC competition.
ULM has never beaten a Big 12 team (0-7) and is facing Baylor for the first time. The Bears play their first road game of the season and haven't covered in their past five away from Waco.
Saturday's Live Betting Options
Virginia at No. 17 TCU (-17.5): Texas Christian currently holds the nation's longest overall winning streak at 10 games as it faces Virginia for the first time since 2009; it's the Cavs' first-ever visit to Fort Worth.
The Frogs rank No. 2 in the nation in allowing just 3.0 ppg, but they also have faced Grambling State and Kansas. TCU is nearly invincible at home, having won 27 of its past 28 there. In its last 17 home games, TCU has allowed just 22 total touchdowns and won by an average margin of 47-11.
Throw out an opening win over FCS school Richmond and Virginia has struggled mightily on offense this year. And there's a quarterback controversy after backup Philip Sims, the Alabama transfer, replaced ineffective starter Michael Rocco in last weekend's 56-20 blowout loss at Georgia Tech. Rocco had two picks vs. the Jackets, while Sims threw two fourth-quarter TD passes. Coach Mike London says Rocco remains his starter - for now. Virginia hasn't covered in its past six non-conference games.
Missouri at No. 7 South Carolina (-10): Both starting quarterbacks in this matchup are hurt but both are expected to start Saturday in a SEC East showdown. USC's Connor Shaw was knocked out of last Saturday's 49-6 win over UAB, but coach Steve Spurrier said Shaw will be good to go vs. Mizzou.
Tigers starter James Franklin sat out Missouri's 24-20 victory over Arizona State with a shoulder problem but said he fully expects to start in what is Missouri's first-ever SEC road game and first road game of 2012. This is the first time these schools have met in a regular-season game. Mizzou was 3-2 ATS on the road last year, including an upset at then-ranked Texas A&M as a double-digit dog.
No. 2 LSU at Auburn (+21): LSU has the nation's longest current regular-season winning streak at 16 straight heading into its first road game of the season, at Auburn.
LSU is known as a defensive powerhouse but is No. 9 in the nation in scoring this season and has scored at least 40 points in 13 of its past 17 games. Also, 16 of the Tigers' past 17 wins have been by double digits - the one that wasn't was the regular-season showdown with Alabama last November. LSU has won 24 straight September games overall and 15 straight vs. unranked teams.
Auburn, meanwhile, is struggling offensively behind QB Kiehl Frazier. The Tigers rank No. 113 in the nation in passing (160.7 ypg) and No. 105 in points per game (20.0). Frazier is completing barely 50 percent of his passes with five interceptions.
Last season at home, LSU beat Auburn 45-10 despite three of LSU's best players, running back Spencer Ware and defensive backs Tyrann Mathieu and Tharold Simon, all suspended for the game. The home team is 11-1 in the past 12 meetings in the series and has covered in eight of those.
No. 22 Arizona at No. 3 Oregon (-24): This is one of three Top-25 matchups on Saturday and one of the final kickoffs of the night (10:30 ET). It also has every appearance of being the highest-scoring game of Week 4 and has a total of 77.
New coach Rich Rodriguez has re-energized the Arizona program already, and the Cats, behind QB Matt Scott, rank No. 7 in the country in passing and No. 12 in scoring (46.3). Arizona has thumped a ranked team this season, pounding Oklahoma State 59-38.
Oregon has had the nation's most explosive offense since Chip Kelly took over as head coach and this year is no different. The Ducks rank No. 4 in rushing and No. 5 in scoring (54.0). Heisman candidate De'Anthony Thomas is averaging an incredible 17.5 yards per carry; he has a total of 24 carries/receptions and has scored seven times. Despite three blowouts this year Oregon is 0-3 ATS and has covered just once in its past nine home games overall.
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