Upset Alert - Week 10
November 1, 2012
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Last week we saw a few of the remaining unbeaten teams fall as Florida, Oregon State and Mississippi State all lost their first game of the year. Mississippi State was expected too as 24-point dogs vs. #1 Alabama, but the other two shook up the BCS standings quite a bit. We also can't forget about Notre Dame's HUGE upset win over Oklahoma as double-digit dogs themselves, remaining undefeated and in the BCS hunt.
There are some big time games this week though as Alabama heads for their rematch with LSU (off a bye) and Oregon is in USC to battle the Trojans.
#4 Oregon (+8) vs. USC (-8)
The Ducks still have to feel like they are getting a bit disrespected in the BCS standings with K-State and Notre Dame ahead of them, but this is their week to make a statement. If they can go into USC and put a whooping on the Trojans, they could make a BCS leap of their own. However, USC comes into this game with two losses now after losing to Arizona last week in what was obviously a huge trap game. The Trojans were clearly looking ahead to this matchup and because of that they will be more than ready.
USC went into Eugene, Oregon last year as 16-point dogs and came away with the outright win, despite losing the turnover battle 3-2. QB Matt Barkley threw 4 TD passes and they controlled the game with ball possession. USC had the ball for nearly a quarter more than the Ducks (36 min vs. 23 min) and that will no doubt be their plan once again. The Trojans know they can't completely shut down the Ducks offense, but can merely hope to contain them.
Given that with two losses already, USC's hopes of playing in a National Title game are gone, making this game their "defacto" title game. Now, there could be a rematch down the line in the Pac-12 Championship, but if USC can't have any confidence in that one if they lose this one.
#24 Oklahoma State (+10) vs. #3 Kansas State (-10)
K-State continues to prove their doubters wrong and as double-digit favorites heading into this one, there is no reason to think their roll can't continue. They have passed their most recent tests (West Virginia and Texas Tech) with flying colors and now host a Oklahoma State team that already has two SU losses on the year.
However, Oklahoma State can be a feisty team themselves and with the kind of explosive offense they have, a couple key turnovers could put them in a real good spot. They have beaten the Wildcats four of the past five meetings, including a win over Klein last year. The Cowboys were a different team last year with NFL players Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon leading the way in that game (Weeden passed for over 500 yards, 205 of which went to Blackmon) and will need a few bounces to go their way here.
#1 Alabama (-9.5) vs. #5 LSU (+9.5)
We can't forget about the National Title rematch going on in the SEC. What makes LSU a live dog here is the fact that they've had two weeks to prepare for this showdown and Les Miles spectacular home record in night games (35-1 SU). Revenge is on their minds, but 'Bama is still 'Bama. An LSU win here will shake up the BCS Standings like nothing else, and that in itself is a good reason to root for the dog here.