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Upset Alerts - Week 11

Week 10 saw all the big, undefeated powerhouses pass their respective tests although it was too close for comfort in some cases. Notre Dame needed a 4th quarter comeback that was aided by a questionable pass interference call early in the quarter to force overtime vs. Pitt and ultimately escaped with a triple-OT win. They dodged another bullet in the 2nd OT when the Pitt kicker missed a short FG to end it and the Irish’s National title hopes stay alive.

Alabama got a TD drive in the final minute to escape LSU with the victory and remain #1 in the country. Oregon and Kansas State were pushed by USC and Oklahoma State respectively, but both got comfortable wins in the end.

With so few undefeated teams left and many of them listed as heavy favorites this week, our upset alert piece will expand to the top BCS teams that have to be weary this week.

#9 Louisville (-3) vs. Syracuse (+3)

Louisville is the other lone BCS eligible undefeated team (Ohio State is 10-0 but ineligible) behind the “Big 4” already mentioned and they have a tough task ahead of them this week. Louisville has been at home for three straight weeks now and going out on the road for the first time in a while and playing in a loud dome atmosphere.

Syracuse has played well at home this year (3-2 SU) with their only losses coming to a good Northwestern team in the season opener and USC. Senior QB Ryan Nassib can air it out with the best of them and as long as he takes care of the ball and doesn’t turn it over, Syracuse has a very good shot in this game.

#11 Oregon State (+4.5) vs. #14 Stanford (-4.5)

It’s unlikely that either of these teams will catch Oregon for the Pac-12 North crown but both still have yet to play the Ducks so anything is possible. Stanford has Oregon on deck so they may get caught looking ahead to that game, but they won’t take the Beavers lightly either.

Getting listed as 4.5-point favorites isn’t simply a matter of home field advantage for the Cardinal as Oregon State hasn’t exactly played their best away from home. A loss here for Oregon State would really hurt their chances at a potential Rose Bowl appearance if the Ducks go to the National Title and with their final two games at home, Oregon State better be ready for a quality Stanford team.

#22 Mississippi State (+14.5) vs. #7 LSU (-14.5)

This line might not suggest that LSU should be concerned but it will be hard for them to “get up” for this game after having Alabama on the ropes last week. If the Tigers had held on last week, who knows what the BCS would look like now and their own bid for a National Title would no doubt still be alive. The rest of their schedule is nothing to really fear after this contest, making this one a prime example of the dreaded let-down spot.

Mississippi State has taken two beatings in a row at the hands of Alabama and Texas A&M and need to do whatever they can to save their season and avoid falling out of the Top 25. This is their chance to get that final statement win of the year and find themselves in a very good bowl game come December/January.

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