MNF Player Props
November 19, 2012
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The headlines surrounding tonight's Bears/49ers game have all been about the injured QB's as both squads will have their backups at the helm. It is because of those two significant injuries that the line and total on this game has seen plenty of movement to date. So, in what's expected to be a defensive struggle tonight, here are two prop bets you can count on:
Prop #1: Patrick Willis Total Tackles (solo + assisted) Over 8.5 (-115) or Under 8.5 (-115)
The initial thought when you see this number is that it is a little high for one individual player, no matter how good he is. But in a game that should see a heavy dose of running, you know Willis will be around the ball all night. He hasn't eclipsed this number in five straight games which is a bit worrisome, but he had at least 7 tackles + assists in each of those contests. Willis will likely shadow RB Matt Forte on screen routes and is always a threat to get behind the line for a sack or tackle for loss on a blitz. The 49ers are going to force Jason Campbell to beat them with his arm and that means plenty of action for this middle linebacker.
Take the over.
Prop #2: Brian Urlacher Total Tackles (solo + assisted) Over 7.5 (-115) or Under 7.5 (-115)
Similar to the Willis thinking, Urlacher expects to be around the ball all night. After a slow start to the season, Urlacher has had at least 7 total tackles since the Bears bye week (Week 6) and likely won't slow down tonight either. He will be prepared for taking down the likes of Frank Gore in the running game, as well as staying with TE Vernon Davis in the short passing game. The Bears pride themselves on their defense and Urlacher is the unquestioned leader of the unit. He knows that with Cutler out, he and his unit have to step up their play, especially on the road underneath the bright lights.
Take the over.