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Saturday College Football Two-Pack
Our picks last week brought home the bacon as North Carolina State managed to sneak in the back door vs. Clemson and the Oklahoma-West Virginia game was an offensive showdown easily eclipsing the total of 74 ½ points.
Those two wins push our record on the year to 7-3 (70%) against the spread as we approach the final Saturday (for most) of the season. That means plenty of “Senior Day” home games for teams all across the country and rivalry matchups galore.
Here are two games that we have on our card
Game 1: Connecticut (+11) vs. Louisville (-11); Total set at 45.5
The Louisville Cardinals are coming off their bye week but even with that extra rest this is a horrible spot for them. They are coming off their first loss of the season at the hands of Syracuse and dreams of a perfect season were dashed. More importantly though, that conference loss put them in a tie with Rutgers for first in the Big East and those two meet next Thursday night. Needless to say, you couldn’t be surprised if Louisville spent most of their week off overlooking the Huskies and preparing for that showdown with the Scarlet Knights.
Meanwhile UConn is coming off a win vs. Pittsburgh two weeks ago, snapping a brutal four-game losing streak in the process. They are well-rested too and even have an extra day of rest after that Pitt game was played on a Friday. At 4-6 SU they still have an outside shot at becoming Bowl eligible if they win this one and beat Cincinnati next week, so expect them to leave it all out on the field. Add to that the fact that they are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 November games and this just is too many points to give them in this spot.
Take the points with UConn
Game 2: Miami (-6.5) vs. Duke (+6.5); Total set at 66.5:
The news from the Hurricanes this week was that they pulled themselves out of Bowl consideration for the 2nd straight year due to the ongoing NCAA investigations regarding the Shapiro case. It is a tough blow for the players who are graduating this year, but Miami is still a very young team that will continue to improve in the immediate future. But because they aren’t going to a Bowl game again, this is their final game of the year and the players won’t let this game pass them by.
Sure, it’s on the road, but they get to play a reeling Duke team that has lost three straight games by double-digits and don’t really have anything to play for. They are already Bowl eligible at 6-5 SU, and although a December game isn’t a certainty, the Blue Devils simply won’t match Miami’s emotions in this one.
Miami is 5-0 ATS in their last five and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 ACC games. This is the last chance some of those guys will see a football field at such a high level and the Hurricanes will leave it all out there.