Big 12 Doubleheader
December 1, 2012
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The final week of the college football regular season last week was a good one once again for us as our picks went 2-0 ATS with Miami holding on as favorites and UConn winning SU as double-digit dogs. Those two wins push our record this year to 9-3 ATS as we approach Conference Championship weekend with the hunger to post another perfect 2-0 ATS week. It is a smaller card but that doesn't me mean winners can't be found. Here are two games that we have on the college football card this Saturday:
Game #1: Kansas (+19.5) vs. West Virginia (-19.5); Total set at 71
With all the recent realignment in college football, we are void of a Big 12 Championship game these days and that means it is basically the final day of the regular season for those schools.
Kansas has had a dismal season at 1-10 SU and simply just don't have the talent or experience to keep up in this conference. On the other hand, West Virginia is 6-5 SU and has had their own share of struggles in their first year in the Big 12. Another win would ensure they see a Bowl game, so that is goal #1 for the Mountaineers here.
However, I'm not looking at the side here as that is just too many points to lay with a West Virginia team that has had a Swiss cheese defense all year. The Mountaineers have not been able to stop anyone this season and if it weren't for Geno Smith and Tavon Austin leading the offense to their own video game numbers, West Virginia would have a similar record to Kansas.
It is those video game numbers that I expect to see in this game though as this game will be an offensive explosion. Kansas may not have great talent but they have enough playmakers to move the ball at will against West Virginia's defense and the Mountaineers will do their typical thing of scoring about 40 points per game. The Jayhawks are 6-1 O/U in their last seven on the road against a winning team while West Virginia has seen nine of their past 12 home games sail over the number. This game should be no different.
Take the over.
Pick #2: Oklahoma (-6) vs. TCU (+6); Total set at 59.5
The Sooners are hoping to close out the year with a five-game winning streak with a W, but to do so requires going through a very scrappy TCU team. Oklahoma hasn't exactly been playing great football of late, going 0-3 ATS in their last three contests and needing a miraculous OT comeback vs. hated Oklahoma State last week. Oklahoma is a team loaded with NFL talent and with no Big 12 championship game to play this year; you've got to wonder if the Sooners players aren't already looking ahead to their own bigger and better things.
Meanwhile, TCU is off a great win as 7.5-dogs in Texas on Thanksgiving and need a strong performance to close out the year. Finishing their first season in the Big 12 with wins over Texas and Oklahoma would be a great notch in the cap of this Horned Frogs team that has dealt with numerous issues themselves this season. I believe they use this big stage to show the college football world that they do indeed belong in this power conference and that these big-name schools don't scare them one bit. They have the defense to frustrate QB Landry Jones all afternoon and with them being at home, I think getting 6 points it too many.
Take TCU +6.