Early Thoughts for Week 14
The final few weeks of the NFL season are upon us and that means the playoff races across the league are tightening up and narrowing down. With Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, and Indianapolis winning straight up this week, it’s looking more and more like those three teams will battle for the two wildcard spots in the AFC as the next closest team is two games behind them at 5-7 SU.
The NFC is a lot more wide open as four teams sit at 6-6 SU and trail the current 6th seed Seattle by only a single game. Two of those three teams are the Redskins and Cowboys who still have their division up for grabs as the Giants only lead them by one game as well. It has become a sprint in the NFL and these next three weeks will be quite entertaining.
We touched on the eight divisional games Week 13 had and they all brought some interesting results. Of the five teams that were looking for revenge after a SU loss in the first meeting, three of them got that revenge with SU wins while four of the five cashed tickets for bettors against the spread. Atlanta, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and Washington all managed to reverse their ATS results from the first game with their respective rivals.
This week we have six division games in total on the card and all of them are “revenge” spots for someone. Teams that are in those ATS revenge spots are Oakland (+10.5), Tennessee (+5.5), Minnesota (+3), Atlanta (-3.5), Seattle (-10.5), and Detroit (+6.5). Of all those teams, only Atlanta managed to win SU in the first meeting and not cover the spread, so with many of those teams dogged, look for some inspired efforts from those teams.
This week we have quite a few non-division games on the card but only one really sticks out: Houston (+3.5) at New England. Both of these teams clinched a playoff spot last week with wins, but only New England was able to clinch its division. However, both are currently listed as the top two seeds in the AFC and a win by the Patriots here would give them the edge in any sort of tie-breaking scenarios. The Patriots would still trail Houston by one game if they were to win, but anything can happen down the stretch and you know the Patriots would once again love to have the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC go through New England.