Army, Navy clash again
December 5, 2012
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CFB Betting this week: Now that the regular season is over and conference championship games have been played, the college football season must look forward to the Bowls in the coming month. All eyes will be on the National Championship game between #1 Notre Dame and #2 Alabama, but there are plenty of other intriguing matchups before then.
One of them, which is not a bowl game and always marks the end of another college football season, is the historic Army-Navy game. These two meet this Saturday as the lone game on this weekend’s card and this rivalry is always entertaining to watch no matter what their respective records are.
Odds: Navy (-7) vs. Army
Navy comes into this one as the clear favorite with a 7-4 straight up mark and have owned this rivalry lately, going 10-0 SU and 7-3 against the spread in the past 10 years. Laying 7 points it is tough to think anything will change in this one as the Midshipmen come in on a roll winning six of their past seven games, with only one of those coming by less than 7 points.
However, they haven’t covered a spread in their past three and are a dismal 1-4 ATS this year as favorites. They are a team that clearly “gets up” for big time opponents and tries to shock them with their triple option attack. Well, they won’t shock Army with the triple option (both teams use it) and at 2-9 SU, Navy can’t exactly be “getting up” for a quality opponent here. Yes, this rivalry means a great deal on both sides but with the recent domination by Navy, you’ve got to think the Midshipmen will come into this game thinking it’s going to be another easy W.
Army has been far from good this season and are coming off their most embarrassing loss yet as they fell 63-32 at home vs. Temple. Army was -3.5 in that game so getting blown out like that and then having a few weeks to stew about it has got to have these guys pumped. Whether or not it will be enough for the win, I don’t know but this game should stay close.
One final thing to keep in mind for this game is that with both teams using the option attack as their offense, expect lots of running with time bleeding off the clock. Each of the past six games between these two has stayed below the posted total and some of them haven’t even been close. If that trend stays true to form, you’ve got to take the points here as a low-scoring game. Army wants to end this streak of futility against the Navy and I believe they get it done.
Play on Army +7 with a strong lean to the under.
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