NFL Week 14 Betting Recap at Bovada
The skidding Detroit Lions are going about things all wrong - they need to stop taking double-digit leads. The Lions were up 14-0 in Green Bay early in the second quarter on Sunday but managed to lose 27-20, their record 21st straight regular-season road loss to the Packers. It was also the Lions' third straight game they've blown a lead of 10-plus points, tying an NFL record shared by six other teams.
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Green Bay was a seven-point favorite so the game was a push on the spread (it won the week in terms of most action). It was a big win for bettors on the moneyline as the Packers at -280 took more than 80% of the action. The book did well on the total with only 37% taking the under 49 points. The Pack won despite Aaron Rodgers not throwing a touchdown pass, the first time that has happened for Rodgers in 36 games at Lambeau Field.
Green Bay can clinch the NFC North for the second year in a row with a win over the struggling Chicago Bears this Sunday. Green Bay is now 15/2 to win the Super Bowl, behind only San Francisco (11/2) among NFC teams. The Bears have dropped to 28/1.
The biggest win of the most-wagered NFL games for bettors on the spread was Denver at -10.5 beating the Oakland Raiders 26-13 on Thursday night. It was the eighth straight win for Peyton Manning and Co., who are now 5/1 to win the Super Bowl. More than 68% of the action on the spread was on the Broncos - there was no moneyline.
Denver visits Baltimore this week in a huge game that could decide if one of those two teams gets a first-round playoff bye. The Ravens will have a new offensive coordinator as they fired Cam Cameron on Monday and replaced him with quarterbacks coach Jim Caldwell. He was formerly Manning's head coach from 2009-11 with the Colts and his QBs coach before that.
The top player prop results of the week for bettors were: Green Bay's Rodgers under 0.5 interceptions; Vikings running back Adrian Peterson over 107.5 rushing yards against the Bears; and Lions receiver Calvin Johnson over 6.5 catches against the Packers.
For the book, the top game result was far and away the Carolina Panthers' 30-20 upset of Atlanta. Carolina was a 3.5-point home dog and took only about 32% of the action. At +160, the Panthers took less than nine percent of the lean. The Falcons (11-2) are now 9/1 to win the Super Bowl.
The book's top player prop results were all from the Detroit-Green Bay game: Rodgers under 297.5 passing yards as well as under 23.5 total completions; and the Lions' Matthew Stafford under 295.5 passing yards.
Thursday's Live Betting Preview: Bengals at Eagles
The Cincinnati Bengals missed a golden chance to take a one-game lead for the final AFC wild-card spot Sunday, blowing a 19-10 lead with less than seven minutes remaining and falling 20-19 at home to the Dallas Cowboys on a 40-yard field goal at the gun. That ended a four-game winning streak for Cincinnati (7-6), which is tied for that final playoff spot with Pittsburgh but currently would lose the tiebreaker to the Steelers.
Cincinnati is an opening three-point favorite for the quick turnaround at the Philadelphia Eagles (4-9) on Thursday night. Philly appeared to have mailed it in already this season but ended an eight-game losing streak Sunday with a 23-21 upset win at Tampa Bay. Eagles' rookie QB Nick Foles threw a one-yard touchdown pass to Jeremy Maclin as time expired. The Eagles thus became the first team in NFL history to end a losing streak of eight or more games in one season with a touchdown on the final play of the fourth quarter.
Foles passed for 381 yards, the highest single-game passing-yardage total by a rookie in team history. He became the third rookie quarterback in NFL history with at least 350 passing yards, two passing touchdowns and no interceptions in a game. That performance probably assured that the Eagles don't bring Michael Vick back next season.
The Eagles and Bengals haven't faced off since a 13-13 tie in 2008, which had been the NFL's last tie before the 49ers and Rams deadlocked earlier this season.
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