Week 15 Best Bet
December 15, 2012
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Only three weeks remain before the playoffs and that means teams all throughout the league are pushing for a playoff spot, playoff positioning, or playing out the string. With a win this week, Baltimore can clinch the AFC North division but a loss puts them in a real tough bind with Pittsburgh and Cincinnati right on their heels. Indianapolis and Houston meet for the first time in three weeks and a Colts win on the road here could really put that division up in the air as well. Neither of those games are this week's best bet though as we look elsewhere like last week. Last week's "Over" in the Arizona/Seattle game was cashed by halftime for an easier winner and we are hoping this week's play is just as easy.
Tampa Bay (+3.5) vs. New Orleans (-3.5); Total set at 54
At 5-8 SU this has been a trying year for the New Orleans Saints who are likely to miss the playoffs for the first time in a while. After all they have been through with "Bountygate" you know this would be a year like no other in Louisiana and it has been. Offensively, they are still one of the best teams in the league, but defensively they can't stop anyone and maybe that "edge" was taken off with all the pre-season sanctions.
New Orleans is now left playing the role of spoiler and to end what little hope Tampa has of making the playoffs is the Saints goal this week. They have already beaten the Bucs once this season and did so even after getting down 21-7 early on. It was Drew Brees and the passing game that got things going in that game and New Orleans even held the lead at halftime. Well, Tampa is still the worst team in the league against the pass and Drew Brees and company should have another field day through the air against this team. New Orleans is even at home this time in a controlled environment, making their passing game all the more lethal.
Brees and the Saints have been thoroughly embarrassed the past three weeks, all losses in a stretch that basically took them out of the playoff hunt. Last week's blowout loss to the Giants was especially painful and New Orleans will bounce back from that. Eliminating a division rival from the playoffs is a happy after-thought for this Saints team that is already getting excited about 2013.
Lay the points with New Orleans.