Week 17 Best Bet
December 28, 2012
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We took a hit last week with the over in the Minnesota/Houston game as the Texans offense decided to no-show. Houston is now in a position where they need to win to secure the #1 seed in the AFC, a spot that seemed to be all theirs only a few weeks ago. Neither team is the focus of this week's play though as we zero in on an NFC South game that has no meaning to the playoff picture.
YTD record: 2-1 ATS
Carolina (+5.5) vs. New Orleans (-5.5); Total set at 54
Coming into the 2012 season both of these teams had Super Bowl aspirations and a Carolina O-lineman even took out a full page ad in the newspaper predicting they would be in the big game. But then the season started and neither team could get out of the gate well. New Orleans started the year 0-4 SU in the middle of their bounty scandal and Carolina lost six of their first seven games. That one win came against this struggling Saints team though in Week 2 as the Panthers exposed New Orleans soft defense in the 35-27 win. New Orleans has had to wait a few months for their revenge but now that Week 17 is here, you better believe New Orleans hasn't forgotten about that game.
Despite their rough season, New Orleans has still managed to make statements to their division rivals that the NFC South still goes through them. They head into this week with a 3-2 SU record vs. division rivals this season and would love to make it 4-2. They have been playing with tremendous pride the past two weeks after getting embarrassed three weeks in a row vs. SF, ATL and NYG, officially eliminating them from making a late post-season run. They have scored 74 points in their last two games and Carolina's defense won't put much of a scare into Drew Brees and company. New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in their last five against losing teams and is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after a SU win. They do not want to finish the year by getting swept by the Panthers, especially when both expect to make a lot of noise in 2013.
Lay the points with New Orleans here as the Saints get their revenge.