Suns, Clippers clash
January 24, 2013
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Late-Night NBA Betting
L.A. Clippers (-6) vs. Phoenix (+6)
Total set at 191.5
The L.A. Clippers will be without the services of Chris Paul again tonight but that isn’t deterring too many bettors away from this team. 80% of the action is backing the Clippers at the moment and on paper it makes sense. L.A. is one game out of 1st place in the West and Phoenix is tied for the worst record in the conference. The Clippers have already dominated Phoenix twice this year by double digit spreads and won with ease. Even without Paul, things can’t be much different right?
Well L.A. won those games by scores of 117-99 and 103-77. That 103-77 game was in Phoenix and right
before the Christmas holiday so it’s unlikely the Suns have forgotten about that embarrassment. Paul had 17 points and 13 assists in that game as the entire Clippers team played well and shot over 53% from the field. L.A. hit more than 50% of their 3-pointers in that game as well, thoroughly dominating the Suns in every aspect.
But wins like that over a team tend to breed a bit of complacency in a team, knowing they can play said team at any time in any building and beat up on them. The Clippers were never tested in either of those wins and after giving it everything they had vs. the Thunder on Tuesday, chances are L.A. won’t be their sharpest tonight. They are 1-6-1 ATS after losing by double digits and 2-6 ATS after their last eight losses this season. If the Clippers come out thinking this game will be another cakewalk, especially without Paul at the helm, they could find themselves scratching and clawing for a win.
Phoenix hasn’t been playing good basketball of late and with this being on the back end of a back-to-back, there is risk they come out sluggish too. They are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 back-to-backs and 0-4 ATS in their last four at home. But they did look sharp last night in their win and will be up to the challenge of keeping up with the Clippers. Getting beat is one thing in the NBA, but losing by 20+ points are losses that will always stick with players. The Suns are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games vs. L.A. and with six players scoring in double digits last night; confidence has got to be flowing through that dressing room.
I think this is too many points to lay with this Clippers team on the road in this spot.
Take the points with Phoenix.