Long Distance Odds
February 13, 2013
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Who will win the 3-point shooting contest during All-Star Weekend?
The NBA All-Star weekend extravaganza is only a few days away and as many players plan their vacations and look to get away from the game for a few days, all of the league's superstars will be in Houston to compete in various skills competitions or the actual game itself. That leads me to the 3-point shooting competition which has another strong field this year.
3-point odds to win
Stephen Curry (+250), Steve Novak (+300), Kyrie Irving (+300), Ryan Anderson (+400), Paul George (+500), Matt Bonner (+500)
When breaking down a competition like this you can really only begin through the process of elimination based on what we know. And while we know that Kyrie Irving (+300) may be the biggest star on this list, stroking the deep ball isn't exactly what he's known for. He does rank 13th in the league with a .427 shooting percentage from deep this year as he makes 2 for every 4.7 attempts on average. This is a competition that tends to go to pure shooters and Irving's game is so much more than that.
We should be able to eliminate Paul George (+500) as well as he comes into this with the worst shooting percentage of all the contestants (.388) although he does jack up nearly six attempts per game. But while George will no doubt be excited to be involved in the contest, he may be more focused on the actual game itself. George was selected for his first all-star appearance in his career and many times that takes precedent for guys than the simple skills competition. The same can be said for Kyrie Irving as well.
Ryan Anderson is known for his pure shooting ability (.402%) but he still comes up short in that department when you look at the rest of the field. He is more of a catch and shoot guy and his size could actually be a problem for this competition because he isn't simply catching in rhythm and letting it go. Matt Bonner (+500) is in a similar boat although he does have the best 3-point shooting percentage of all the contestants (.451) this year. But he only attempts 1.8 shots per game and might not have the endurance to continually hit 3-balls in multiple rounds.
That leaves Stephen Curry (+250) and Steve Novak (+300) and they are the best pure shooters of the bunch. They rank #3 and #4 respectively in 3-point shooting percentage this year and neither is shy with their attempts. Curry makes 3.1 of his 6.9 attempts per game and will no doubt have a chip on his shoulder after being passed over for the actual all-star game. Curry is more than deserving of being on the team but playing in a conference loaded with phenomenal guards, he was the odd man out.
Novak has been lights out for the Knicks all year and should become more of a household name on the big stage in this event. He trails Curry by .006 in their shooting percentages (.447-.441) and is a very streaky shooter. When Novak gets going he can knock them down at a blistering pace and will give this field all they can handle.
Curry or Novak should win this thing and with the listed prices as they are now, as long as one of them does hoist the trophy, bettors will come out on top even by taking both. Join now to bet on the NBA all-star weekend.
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