User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto Racing
Horses
Boxing/MMA
More
Betting Tools

 
NBA Weekend Picks

New Sportsbook.com customers: Make your 1st bet, get your 2nd bet free, 100%, winnings paid in cash.
Join Now

Already have an account? Click here to view new Exclusive Rewards!

   

You want NBA playoff free picks? Well you’ve got them. The Eastern Conference is a sordid run where only two teams have viable opportunities to win, while the Western Conference series are a basketball geeks dream come true. Here’s a preview of this weekend’s action.

SATURDAY GAMES

Check your local listings and get your bets in early. The home team is in CAPS, as usual. Lines are subject to change but should hover around where they are by a half-point or so.

NEW YORK KNICKS -6.5 over Boston Celtics (3:30pm EST)

The Knicks are going to get their playoff run off to a great start by throttling the short handed Celtics in front of a hot home crowd at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks went 3-1 SU and ATS when playing Boston this season, and overall they’re 46-21 ATS at home which is a scorching record. Boston’s 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games as well. There’s optimism that Pierce can duel the reigning scoring champion, Carmelo Anthony, the Celtics won’t be able to overcome the awesome and relentless three-point shooting of the Knicks. That’s going to be the kicker in this series the whole way through.

Golden State Warriors +7.5 over DENVER NUGGETS (5:30 pm EST)

Denver rocks the home court, going 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games at the Pepsi center, and Golden State never travel wells going 5-11 ATS over their last 16 away games. So why back the Warriors here?

Golden State has offensive firepower and a much sturdier frontcourt set. Bogut should play and it’s doubtful that Faried suits up for the Nuggets. I think everyone assumes that the Lee-Bogut combo is a defensive bust – which is kind of true – but they generate offensive opportunities for their teammates. The Warriors can steal the opener in this series, but I’d rather take that generous point cushion over the straight up win.

BROOKLYN NETS -4.5 over Chicago Bulls

Advertisement
Lulling down the home stretch, the Chicago Bulls knew they couldn’t move up to the fourth seed in the Eastern Conference so their 2-6 ATS record over their final 8 games shouldn’t be a huge concern. But I think that Brooklyn is a bit better than people think. The Nets are an atrocious 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games, and should lose the overall series to Chicago, but I also think they can come out strong in the first game.

It will take a bit of time to game plan against Deron Williams, who has a chance to take over this matchup as Nate Robinson defends him. That can happen after Chicago sees how the thinly equipped Nets approach this series. Thibodeau will figure out Brooklyn eventually, but in Game 1 I think Brooklyn gets the early advantage.

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS -5.0 over Memphis Grizzlies

The one weapon that Memphis had in this series last year that they don’t this year is Rudy Gay. His athleticism and versatility contributed 19.6 points per game over the six game series against the Clippers last season, and though Memphis was smart to trade him, you need a difference maker like him in the playoffs. Memphis is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with winning records because they can’t find the scoring power.

Los Angeles is an absolutely tempting long term and short term play. They’re 5-2 ATS when playing the Western Conference and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home stands. I think that they’re a very complete team that boasts outside shooting with fantastic point play from Billups and Paul. Their front court isn’t the most talented, but it is certainly physical and aggressive.

While Marc Gasol is the best defensive force under the rim, Z-Bo hasn’t exactly been playing at a high level. Memphis relies too much on these two, and neither can offer the offense required to beat a team like the Clippers, who will do everything possible to make sure this series doesn’t get away from them in the opener.

SUNDAY GAMES

Check your local listings and get your bets in early. The home team is in CAPS, as usual. Lines are subject to change but should hover around where they are by a half-point or so.

INDIANA PACERS -6.5 over Atlanta Hawks (1pm EST)

Atlanta is worse this year than they have been in the past three season, suffering from the loss of Joe Johnson (on the court, not in terms of salary cap). They are very much positioning themselves for a big, off-season move but in the meantime that will hurt their chances of advancing. They don’t have a single weapon that can really hurt Indiana, and it’s impossible to tell whether or not Josh Smith has his head focused on winning or on the contract he wants this summer.

The Pacers are a wonderfully deep team. They have great front court length thanks to Roy Hibbert, and a pest like Tyler Hansbrough who can draw fouls and throw people off their games. Toss in the fact that Atlanta doesn’t have a player that can defend George Hill and Paul George and you have a Pacers team that can win in a squash. Indiana is just 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games but they’ll wake up now that the playoffs are in full swing.

Los Angeles Lakers +8.5 over SAN ANTONIO SPURS (3:30pm EST)

There’s no telling who wins this game, but I do think that Los Angeles has more fight in them than people are estimating. The Lakers are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games, but still have Howard and Gasol in the paint. Moving away from the all-in focus on Kobe will make this game more of a grind so I expect the Lakers to keep this one close. I also hate San Antonio at home, where they’re just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games. San Antonio should win out the series on the heels of Tony Parker dominating his matchup with Steve Nash, but the Lakers will not go silently in to the night. They haven’t all season.

MIAMI HEAT -13.0 over Milwaukee Bucks (7pm EST)

I truly, honestly believe that the shooting trio of Reddick-Ellis-Jennings can erupt for at least one straight up win for the Bucks. But this is as much a statement game for Miami and LeBron as there is. The Bucks are just 2-8 ATS when playing on the road, and all of Miami’s betting trends are through the roof. They’re 7-1 ATS when playing the Eastern Conference and 4-1 ATS at home. LeBron can and will absolutely take over this game – and the series – so don’t get uppity with the Bucks here. This is a defining moment for Miami’s championship defense.

Houston Rockets +10.0 over OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (8:30pm EST)

Does it get better than this? James Harden has the chance to prove that Oklahoma City made a big mistake by signing Serge Ibaka over him. Houston is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games and enter the playoffs at just 1-5 ATS in their past 6 games. This series will be an overall nightmare for Harden, but I just think that the chip on his shoulder will be big enough to win a scoring battle with Durant in the opener.

Oklahoma City is a sturdy home bet, going 16-6 ATS when playing on their own court. They’re also 49-19-3 ATS when playing the Western Conference. They’re easily the better team in this series, but I’m allowing myself to get swept up in the drama of Harden invading his old turf here and am willing to believe that he goes off in a way that rattles the Thunder. Houston can win this opening match up, but there’s just no way they can beat the Thunder four times in two weeks.

  
HEADLINES
David: 2013 Bad Beats
MORE HEADLINES
 
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and recieve access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!