May 10, 2013
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MLB Weekend Series Prices: May 10-12
Baltimore (-120) vs. Minnesota (-110)
Baltimore projected starters: Jason Hammel, unknown, Wei-Yin Chen
Minnesota projected starters: Mike Pelfrey, Vance Worley, Scott Diamond
Minnesota took two of three in Baltimore in early April this year but the Orioles are a much better all-around team a month later. Baltimore has won four of their past five and although they lost last night to Kansas City, they still took two of three from the Royals after taking three of four from the Angels.
Baltimore has the better offense, has more speed and even with their Saturday starter unknown at the moment, it’s impossible not to like them here as small favorites. They’ll want to get back at Minnesota for dropping that earlier series and did manage 17 runs in those three games. Tonight they are small favorites against the Twins as Minnesota returns home for the first time after a long 10-game road trip that concluded with three straight wins over Boston. The Twins are playing well these days, but the first game home after a long trip like that is always tough for teams and I see Baltimore winning tonight and then they would only need to split the weekend games to cash this bet.
Take Baltimore (series) -120.
Cleveland (+220) vs. Detroit (-300)
Cleveland projected starters: Corey Kluber, Ubaldo Jimenez, Zach McAllister
Detroit projected starters: Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander, Rick Porcello
When you have to face arguably the two top pitchers in the defending AL Champions staff (Detroit) it’s not surprising that you’d find yourself as big underdogs to take two of three in a series. But that is the situation Cleveland is presented with this weekend and quite frankly, with the way their playing I don’t think they care.
Cleveland has been mashing the ball, winning nine of their past 10 games and doing so in convincing fashion. They’ve scored 6 or more runs in seven of those 10 contests and just swept Oakland in a four-game set. Now, eight of those nine wins did come at home, but when your offense is hitting and your defense posts three shutouts in 10 outings, you are definitely playing some good baseball.
Obviously Detroit is no slouch either (won seven of 10) but four of those came against Houston. They are huge favorites tonight (-190) with Scherzer and I believe that is a bit overpriced given how well Cleveland’s offense is rolling these days. They have all seen Scherzer and Verlander enough in recent years that they won’t completely get shut down by both and there are actually plenty of guys on Cleveland that have hit both Detroit pitchers hard in their careers. If they can manage a split against those two, they get their young stud in McAllister up against Detroit’s worst pitcher in Porcello.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see Cleveland favored in that game on Sunday as Porcello has been awful to start the season. There are five Indians starters that have home runs off Porcello (7 HR in total) with Carlos Santana leading the way with three. It has been the longball that has sparked this offensive explosion in Cleveland and I think there is too much value on the Indians here to pass up.
Take Cleveland (series) +220.