MLB Series Picks
May 17, 2013
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Only seven days ago I went 2-0 with my series bets on Baltimore over Minnesota and Cleveland to take down Detroit as a big underdog. This weekend I’ve isolated two more great plays to cash in on come Sunday evening.
Toronto (+135) vs. New York (-170)
Toronto projected starters: Mark Buehrle, Brandon Morrow, R.A. Dickey
New York projected starters: Hiroki Kuroda, David Phelps, C.C. Sabathia
We’ve got some great projected pitching matchups in this series with Toronto throwing their top three guys out on the hill and New York countering with two of their best three. It will all come to a head with Sunday’s Dickey/Sabathia showdown as this could be the decider.
New York has already won six of the seven vs. Toronto this year, including a four-game sweep in Yankee Stadium at the end of April. That’s a big part of the reason we see them listed as heavy favorites here but I believe you’ve got to go the other way here.
For one, Toronto had a brutal opening month of the season and New York had no problem beating on them while they were down. The Jays have started to turn it around of late, coming into this series with a four-game win streak and having won seven of their last 10. The offense has scored double digit runs in each of their past three outings and as a team they’ve had some very good success against Kuroda and Sabathia before. There is no way Toronto has forgotten about the sweep they took a few weeks ago and now that their confidence is growing and they are scoring without the longball, you’ve got to like this team going forward for the next few weeks.
Add onto that the fact that the first three guys in their rotation are taking the hill and the +130 price with Toronto is the only way to go.
Take Toronto +135
Kansas City (+105) vs. Oakland (-135)
KC projected pitchers: James Shields, Ervin Santana, Luis Mendoza
Oakland projected pitchers: Jarrod Parker, unknown, A.J Griffin
The A’s start out this series on Friday night as small home underdogs yet are still -130 favorites to come away with at least two wins. If that doesn’t make you think a little about backing the home side you may be a little crazy. Yes James Shields has been dominant this year but the Royals are coming off a series win against the Angels and have got to be feeling a little high on their selves at the moment.
The month of May has been quite cruel to the Athletics but this series against the Royals gives them a chance to turn it around before heading to Houston early next week. If Oakland plays their best baseball this can be a stretch in their schedule where they really string some wins together and they took two of three from Kansas City in their only home series a year ago. If Oakland can find a way to start the series with a win over Shields, the rest of the weekend will feel like gravy against one of the worst pitchers KC has (Mendoza) and another in Santana who the A’s know extremely well from his days in L.A.
Take Oakland -135.