Wednesday MLB Plays
May 29, 2013
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Well these early week, four-game, home-and-home interleague series' flip venues today as teams get a look at a different stadium and different rules. Here are a couple of games I'm looking at for tonight:
Cincinnati (+130) vs. Cleveland (-140); Total set at 8.5
Pitchers: Bronson Arroyo vs. Justin Masterson
The Reds swept the first two games of this series at home and now get the added bonus of using a DH for the rest of this one in Cleveland. They held Cleveland to only two runs in both outings and send arguably their hottest pitcher in Bronson Arroyo to the hill tonight.
Arroyo is 3-0 SU in his last three starts, allowing 1.7 runs per outing and posting an ERA of 1.33. However, he has struggled away from home this year with a 1-3 SU mark and giving up 4 of his 7 total HR's allowed this year away from home. His last outing away from home was a strong 7 inning performance against Philly (10-0 win) but that was after three straight road losses to open the year by a combined score of 15-3. With the Indians hungry for revenge, Arroyo will have to keep up with his current form and find a way to keep this Cleveland offense down.
The Indians have struggled to close out this month after starting it so well, losing five in a row coming into tonight and seven of their past eight. They are likely happy to be back at home though after a six-game road trip that saw them stumble as they've really been able to mash the ball in their own ball park this year.
Cleveland is 11-3 SU in their last 14 when listed as the favorite and they are a perfect 5-0 SU in their last five at home against an NL team. Digging further you'll find that Masterson was involved in Cleveland's last win against Cincinnati a year ago (8-1) that was at home and actually against Arroyo as well. The home team has now won eight in a row in this battle of Ohio and I see very few reasons why that trend won't continue tonight.
Take Cleveland on the ML.
Oakland (+110) vs. San Francisco (-120); Total set at 7.5
Pitchers: Tom Milone vs. Tim Lincecum
Like the Reds, Oakland was able to take the first two games of this series at home and now find themselves across town as underdogs. Oakland has now won four of the past six against the Giants but it has been San Francisco who finishes the year with the big trophy in their hands. The Giants aren't a team that struggles for long and they desperately don't want to be facing a potential sweep tomorrow against this team.
Tim Lincecum is a far cry from the pitcher he used to be in his Cy Young days but he is still much better than a season ago and has been a victim of poor run support of late. Lincecum only has a 3-4 record on the year but the Giants are 6-4 SU in his starts and that is after dropping his last two and three of four. The two most recent losses both came against Colorado and there is no doubt in my mind that his Giants teammates would love to bounce back and put up some runs for their former ace.
Lincecum has pitched 7 innings in three of his last four outings so it's not like he's pitching poorly, he just can't get any help. Not many Giants have ever faced Milone in their careers so tonight could be a similar story if they don't jump on him quick.
However, San Francisco is 6-2 SU in Lincecum's last eight against Oakland and they are also 11-1 SU in their last 12 at home against the A's. Oakland may be one of the hotter teams in the league at 10-1 SU in their last 11 but they are 2-5 SU in Milone's last seven starts and don't exactly light up the scoreboard for him either (3 runs for last three outings).
Take San Francisco on the ML.