NBA Finals Props & Picks
June 5, 2013
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Early NBA Finals Game 1 Lines Favors Heat
The 2013 NBA Finals is an epic battle between a dynasty that is fading and one that is trying to build. The San Antonio Spurs have been an absolute force of nature in these playoffs, losing just two playoff games thus far. They’ve turned back the clock, have their health in hand and know that this is likely the last chance that they can make a realistic championship run as a team.
There’s no greater challenge than the Miami Heat who have the world’s greatest player playing at a level that is truly hard to believe. The Heat will be favorites across the futures boards. Do they deserve to be? Let’s break down the lines in NBA Finals betting!
GAME 1 – San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat
Thursday, June 6 (ESPN, 9:05 p.m. ET)
Early NBA Finals Game 1 Line: Miami -5.5 (188.5)
This isn’t a tough matchup for the Spurs throughout a seven game set, but Miami has the advantage of coming off a scorching Game 7 performance just three days prior. Rest is an important factor, especially for a team as old as San Antonio, but we’ve seen rust plague teams before.
You also can’t underestimate how dialed in LeBron James is going to be for this series. The Spurs were the first team he ever faced in an NBA Finals, and the memory of being swept off the big stage is likely going to fuel LeBron to perform at a level that we can only dream about.
This is a large line, but Miami has been forced to “find themselves” against Indiana and I’m not going to ignore that the Spurs haven’t played since Monday, May 27th. That could change in the next couple days but right now that’s where my instincts are leaning in the early NBA Finals Game 1 lines.
Early NBA Finals Game 1 Pick – Miami -5.5 (UNDER)
The Spurs are listed as +185 underdogs to win the NBA Finals against the favored Heat who stand at -215 to claim back to back championships. That’s a fair toss-up for whichever way you’re leaning. Right now, I like the Spurs because of depth, experience and health and +185 is a great value. Of course, if you’re trying to really hit the gold rush you’ll want to bet on the exact games pricing listed below.
Miami Heat Exact Games Prices
At the start of the betting season, Miami was the favorite to win the NBA Title so that means they’re going to be the favorite in this series no matter what we’ve already seen. Here’s the pricing for the exact amount of games Miami will win by:
4 Games (+600)
5 Games (+300)
6 Games (+350)
7 Games (+300)
I’d say that there is a very good chance that this series goes seven games because of how badly bruised Miami is after their grueling set with the Pacers. I would probably throw two pickles at the Heat in 5 Games and 7 Games, which are both listed at 3-to-1, because I don’t think that they’re going to be able to close this series on the road against San Antonio. There isn’t as much value here but if you like a long term bet to set the mark for the way you hedge this series as it goes on, I would take the Heat in 5 Games at +300.
San Antonio Spurs Exact Games Prices
Obviously, the Spurs are underdogs in this series. The betting community hates San Antonio for a variety of reasons, and the public factor behind LeBron is a heavy scale tipper.
4 Games (+2500)
5 Games (+1200)
6 Games (+550)
7 Games (+700)
The best bet here is the Spurs to win in 6 at +550, and has the lowest odds for good reason. If San Antonio is able to steal one of the first two games and then play at the exceptional level they have at home, they have a chance to go in to Game 5 up 3-1 SU. Closing out Miami in Game 6 is the only way the Spurs have a chance to give Duncan his 5th ring.
We’ll have a lot more coverage on this series as we march closer to Game 1. For now, feast on the NBA futures prices and get ready for what promises to be a scintillating NBA Finals.