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Early Super Bowl Picks

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It’s July 1st and that means that another NFL season is fast approaching. Training camps start in a couple of weeks and with plenty of teams tweaking their rosters all spring for a shot to get to the big game it’s never too early to look at some Super Bowl odds.

Favorites: Denver (+550), San Francisco (+600), New England (+800), Seattle (+1000)

There are four teams that are listed at +1000 (Bet $100 to win $1,000) or better and it should come as no surprise to football fans that three of the four reside in the West.

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Denver comes in as the overall favorite at +550 (Bet $100 to win $550) with Peyton Manning getting another opportunity to bring a title to Denver. The Broncos went out and plucked WR Wes Welker from New England and his ability to work routes from the slot position and find open space in tight areas will help out Manning a lot. They’ve still got WR Demaryius Thomas to take the lid of defenses with his outside speed and playing in a rather weak AFC West division, the Broncos should find themselves with another bye week during Wildcard Weekend.

Of the three other teams, I believe Seattle provides the best value on the dollar. They proved last year that they can play, and beat, the big boys in the league and their home-field advantage is 2nd to none. They were a bounce or two away from playing in the NFC Championship last year and the addition of Percy Harvin only makes their dynamic offense more dangerous.

Mid-Range Value Teams: Houston (+1800), New Orleans (+2500)

Like Denver, Houston benefits greatly by playing in a rather weak division and should come away with another AFC South banner without too much trouble. Defensively they will continue to create havoc and if Matt Schaub and that passing game can raise their play a notch or two Houston will be tough for anyone to beat. The Texans have gained valuable playoff experience the past two years in getting to the divisional round and adding a guy with championship experience like Ed Reed on the backend really helps.

New Orleans biggest addition might be the fact that they get coach Sean Payton back this year and the stumbling Saints offense from a year ago will be a distant memory. Defensively there are still some questions about whether or not they can get a stop when they need one, but if they can get into the playoffs getting hot at the right time is what made this team unstoppable in previous years.

Long shots: Dallas (+4000)

It’s tough to put too much faith in a Cowboys team that hasn’t sniffed the playoffs in recent years but the talent has always been there. If the Cowboys can get a key win or two down the stretch and avoid one of those gut-wrenching defeats, there is no reason to think they won’t be in the running for the NFC East title on the final week.

A lack of playoff experience does hurt this team if they can get that far, but at 40/1 odds they are worth some serious consideration.

  
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