HR Derby Winners
July 15, 2013
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The Top 3 Home Run Derby Prop Bets
The Home Run Derby is the perfect mix for those that love a sideshow and gambling wildly on the unexpected. You can bet on the outright winners of the derby, but you can also make some extra cash by scoping out the Home Run Derby prop bets. There’s a whole board for you to choose from, but these are the my three favorites.
Winning Players League – American -210 and National +165
Let’s gloss over the fields before we get going on this Home Run Derby prop bet, shall we?
Prince Fielder – Detroit Tigers
Robinson Cano – New York Yankees
Chris Davis – Baltimore Orioles
Bryce Harper – Washington Nationals
Carlos Gonzalez – Colorado Rockies
Michael Cuddyer – Colorado Rockies
David Wright – New York Mets
From the onset, the American League simply looks much stronger. The empty spot is being left open for Miguel Cabrera who has a slightly problematic back injury that might keep him out of the actual derby. Even without him, Fielder and Davis alone are enough to endorse the American League in this prop bet.
However, I’m going with the National League for the simple reason that I think Gonzalez and Harper will step up and take over the event. Harper is a natural showboat, and Gonzalez has sneaky long ball capabilities. The American League seems like the obvious bet here, but the National League is boasting some serious contenders here too.
You can use this Home Run Derby prop bet to either hedge your bet on whomever you think is going to win, but at carnival events like this I like to go as big (and dumb) as possible. That means that if you’re really daring, you’ll double down and back the league of whomever you picked to win the whole shebang.
Winning Score – OVER/UNDER 30.5
The winner’s total home runs usually crests 30 home runs so this seems like a safe bet even if you’re hoping for some glorious action on Monday night. Keep in mind that on both occasions when Prince Fielder won, he did so with 23 and 28 home runs. So to get a better idea of this TOTAL we have to understand Citi Field.
It’s a little tempting to take the UNDER considering how long Citi Field is. Measuring at 408 feet at center field, Citi Field witnesses an average amount of dingers on any given day. In fact, Citi Field yields the 17th most home runs in the majors with 1.89 per game. That sounds like a lot…but it isn’t.
I think the long dimensions of Citi Field will prove difficult for the stacked field at the Home Run Derby, so this prop bet is getting an UNDER pick from yours truly. If you feel like going for the gusto and pushing the OVER, the wheel is in your hands. But I’m leaning the other way.
Bet The Matchups
Probably the most enjoyable Home Run Derby prop bets include the individual matchups. My favorite first round clash is between reigning home run leader Chris Davis who is an underdog in head-to-head competition against the reigning Home Run Derby Champion, Prince Fielder at -130 (and for the record, I like Davis here).
You can bet all the matchups with some spare change as a way of being constantly invested in whomever’s at the plate. Trust me, of all the home run derby prop bets on the board, betting the matchups is instant fun where you can make some good money so head over to the board and start getting your bets in now.
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