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Props to Watch

While it may seem like there is just MLB and World Cup to bet on now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over, it's actually quite a busy week in the sports betting world. Not only is the World Cup starting later this week, but golf fans get to consume the year's 2nd Major with the US Open teeing off at Shinnecock Hills, and for football fans, the 2018 CFL season also gets going.

So after last week's piece brought a nice tidy profit despite a 1-2 record thanks to Chez Reavie's Top 10 finish at the St Jude Classic, it'll be more golf and even some CFL win totals that I'll be touching on this week to try and keep that bankroll growing.

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Prop Bet #1 – Rickie Fowler To Miss Cut at US Open (+400)

Fowler is one of the most popular players on Tour and definitely the most popular guy to have yet to win a Major. Every golf fan would love to see Rickie get his one day, but sadly I don't believe he'll even be around this weekend to have a shot.

While there have been plenty of close finishes at Majors in recent years, including a 2nd at the Masters this year, that Masters run came during a hot weekend for Fowler when he was freed up and able to simply try and push himself back into things after starting Saturday's round at -2 while the eventual winner Patrick Reed was sitting at -9. It's a results-oriented game for sure, but that 2nd place had much more smoke and mirrors than anything.

And now this week, we've got the recently engaged Fowler who might not be 100% focused on the US Open because of those things going on in his personal life playing in what has been his worst Major of the four in terms of seeing weekend play throughout his career.

Fowler has played in the US Open nine times, and while there are finishes of T10, T2, and T5 in 2013,14, and 17, respectively, there are also four missed cuts in those nine tries as well. Considering he's only missed the cut once in eight tries at Augusta, once in eight tries at the British Open, and once in eight tries at the PGA, history suggests to me that as good as Fowler's game can be, breaking through at the US Open probably isn't going to happen. At +400 for him to have another slow start in a Major that will end up being too much to come back from, I'm willing to take a shot here as Fowler won't be the only big name this week to be done after just two days.

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Prop Bet #2: USA to be Winning Region of US Open (-125)

While I'm not high on Fowler's chances this week, I do believe the nation's National Championship will be won by an American. It's tough to argue against Dustin Johnson being the favorite in this event like he is, but there are plenty of capable potential winners behind him with guys like Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth, Tiger, Matt Kuchar, and even the one guy looking to complete the career Grand Slam this week in Phil Mickelson.

When looked as a “team” of US Players in this week's field, there is so much to like about all of them having a chance this week, especially if a relative “sleeper” like Tony Finau finds a way to come through as well. And after we had a quite a run of non-US winners at the US Open this century with 9 non-US born players winning in a 14-year span from 2001 through 2014, the last three winners of this championship have been Americans and I believe we see that run continue this week.

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Prop Bet #3: Calgary Stampeders Under 11.5 wins this year (+110)

Without question the Calgary Stampeders have been the class of the CFL in recent years, but consecutive losses in the Grey Cup as sizable favorites both times has this team solely talking about redemption this year. But picking yourself up off yet another heartbreaking defeat in the championship game is going to be tough for a team that lost many significant names on both sides of the ball, and playing in a Western Division that is the deepest of the two in the CFL and has seen everyone else improve.

This run Calgary has been on in recent years has been incredible though as they've not won fewer than 13 games in five straight years, and only stayed 'under' this 11.5 total once since the 2010 season and that was in 2011 when they finished on 11 wins. But this year is going to be much tougher for the Stampeders from start to finish as despite not being the champs, they are still the ones who have the target on their backs. And with two missed opportunities in Grey Cup games, teams have to start to feel that Calgary has lost much of that “invincibility” they've had and will start to get tight in close games when things get tough.

Make no mistake about it, Calgary will have their shot at another playoff run this fall, but I see them topping out on 11 wins this year during the regular season and at plus-money odds, I've got no problem backing up that opinion with some cash.

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