Florida Marlins (61-54) at New York Mets (60-54)
Friday, 7:10 pm Eastern
SBG Global Opening Line: Mets - 125 , Total 8.5 Flat
The Florida Marlins and New York Mets will begin an important three-game series on Friday with Ricky Nolasco facing Oliver Perez. Nolasco has been excellent all season for the Marlins. He is 11-6 on the season with a 3.91 ERA while Perez is 7-7 for the Mets with a 4.12 ERA. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Mets at Home.
Nolasco is coming off another excellent outing where he gave up three runs on four hits against Colorado. He struck out 13 and walked none. The Mets go with Perez on Friday. The original plan was for Perez to start on Saturday but the injury to John Maine forced Perez to be moved up. Perez already has two wins against the Marlins this season. Perez is 2-2 in his last seven starts, although the Mets have won five of those starts. Perez has a 1.97 ERA in his last seven starts overall.
Here are the MLB betting stats for Friday’s game. The Marlins are 11-5 in their last 16 games as an underdog. The Marlins are 3-9 in their last 12 Friday games. The Marlins are 6-0 in Nolasco’s last six starts as an underdog. The Marlins are 4-0 in Nolasco’s last four road starts. The Marlins are 9-2 in Nolasco’s last 11 starts. The Over is 5-1 in Nolasco’s last six starts vs. the Mets.
The Mets are 12-3 in their last 15 games as a home favorite. The Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mets are 1-5 in their last six games as a favorite. The Mets are 1-5 in their last six overall. The Mets are 4-0 in Perez’s last four starts vs. the National League East. The Mets are 6-1 in Perez’s last seven starts as a home favorite. The Mets are 6-2 in Perez’s last eight Friday starts. The Mets are 5-2 in Perez’s last seven starts.
SBG Global Current Line: Mets - 133 , Total 8.5 Flat
The Under is 4-0 in the Marlins last four Friday games. The Under is 4-1 in the Marlins last five overall. The Under is 6-2 in the Marlins last eight games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 40-19-6 in the Marlins last 65 games as a road underdog. The Over is 8-1 in Nolasco’s last nine starts as a road underdog.
The Over is 9-1-2 in the Mets last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 7-3 in the Mets last 10 games as a favorite. The Over is 7-3 in the Mets last 10 overall. The Under is 7-0 in Perez’s last seven starts overall. The Under is 6-0 in Perez’s last six starts as a favorite. The Under is 5-2 in Perez’s last seven starts vs. the National League East. The Over is 6-0-2 in the last eight meetings in New York between the two teams. The Over is 4-1 in Perez’s last five home starts vs. the Marlins.
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