The number of teams with a perfect record so far in the NFL season has been whittled down to two (three if you include the Tampa Bay Bucs, but they’re hardly bragging about theirs).
The Indianapolis Colts are one of the teams strutting a perfect mark, while over in the NFC the New Orleans Saints have yet to taste defeat.
The Saints maintained perfection last Monday night by downing fellow NFC Southerners Atlanta; they won straight up, 35-27, but weren’t able to cover the spread, which hovered between 11 and 12.5 heading into the game. “Over” bettors were smiling though as they cashed their tickets on the Total of 56.
That took the Saints record to 6-1 against the spread heading into this weekend’s game vs. the Carolina Panthers. Online sportsbook SPORTSBETTING.com has New Orleans listed as a 13-point favorite in this divisional tilt, with the Over/Under at 52.
While it certainly doesn’t appear history will repeat itself in this matchup, the Panthers have been damn impressive when traveling to face the Saints…really impressive.
The Saints have not done much marching in their last stretch of home games against Carolina, stumbling to seven-straight losses (0-7 straight up) and eight-straight losses against the spread (0-8 ATS).
Clearly these are two different teams than over the past number of years, but those are compelling numbers. I won’t be putting any money on the Panthers on the moneyline, but getting 13-points does look appealing.
Can the Panthers make it nine straight pointspread covers on the road vs. the Saints? The sports betting public doesn’t think so, as almost 70% of the early action has been laying the points and betting on the home side (according to SPORTSBETTING.com)
Also worth noting is that New Orleans is only 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games when favored by 8.5-points or more.
Over/Under Trends:
Looking at the Over/Under numbers for this one: with Drew Brees behind center, New Orleans owns the highest-scoring offense in the NFL, putting up an average of 39-points a game.
- In their last nine games against divisional opponents, they have a mark of 7 Overs and 2 Unders.
- The Saints have been a profitable “Over” play the last couple of seasons on home field, sporting a mark of 14 Overs and 3 Unders in their most recent 17 home starts.
As you might expect, the “Over” is a popular bet heading into this matchup, with 76% of all the Total betting volume targeted to the “Over”.
Dallas vs. Philadelphia
Sunday night will see a battle for top spot in the NFC East when the Dallas Cowboys travel to Philly to play the Eagles, who are favored by 3-points with a Total of 48.
The Eagles have dominated in the Cowboys’ last 10 visits to Lincoln Financial, with an 8-2 mark SU and 6-3-1 ATS. Dallas hasn’t only had problem on the road against the Eagles either, with a record of 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games overall.
These two have connected to cash “Over” tickets on a regular basis when meeting in the City of Brotherly Love. In the last eight games between Dallas and Philly at Lincoln Financial Field, there have been 7 Overs, no Unders and 1 push.
Early betting action on this one is tilted to the home team and the “Over” (68% and 73% respectively).
With half of the NFL season completed, the races for playoff berths will begin turning up the heat on all the games. .
Enjoy all the betting action.
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