CFL Betting Notes - Week 16
October 9, 2012
By David Schwab
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The push to the Grey Cup Playoffs continues with just four weeks left in the regular season. This past Friday, Edmonton improved its chances for a potential berth with a 35-20 victory over Hamilton as a 2 ½ -point home favorite. British Columbia came out on top in a crucial West Division showdown on Saturday with a 27-22 win over Calgary as a four-point favorite at home.
The Canadian Thanksgiving Holiday pushed the final two games of Week 15 to Monday, October 8. In the first matchup, Winnipeg kept its slim playoff hopes alive with a shocking 27-22 victory over Montreal as a 13 ½ -point road underdog. Saskatchewan closed-out the week by pounding Toronto 36-10 as a one-point underdog on the road.
The following is brief preview of Week 16 in the CFL along with the opening point spread and 'over/under' lines as provided by 5Dimes.
Friday, Oct. 12
British Columbia vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats OFF Total: OFF
BC became the first team to officially clinch a spot in the postseason with a straight-up record of 10-4 but it is just 6-8 against the spread this season overall and 2-5 ATS on the road. Hamilton is 5-9 SU (7-7 ATS) and one game out of the sixth and final playoff spot. The total has gone OVER in five of its last six games.
The Lions outlasted the Tiger-Cats 39-36 as eight-point home favorites in the first meeting this season but they are 3-5 SU and 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings. The total has gone OVER in five of those games overall but has stayed UNDER in seven of the last nine games played in Hamilton.
Saturday, Oct. 13
Calgary Stampeders (-2) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Total: 54 ½
Calgary's loss to BC dropped it two games back in the West Division with an overall record of 8-6 SU (7-7 ATS). The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last five games. Winnipeg's playoff chances remain on life support at 4-10 SU but it is an even 7-7 ATS this season. The total has stayed UNDER in its last five games.
The Stampeders have won the last six meetings SU including a 44-3 pasting earlier this season as 9 ½ -point home favorites. The Blue Bombers have the slight edge ATS during this span with a record of 3-1-2. The total has been evenly split 3-3 in the six games. Calgary is 0-5-1 ATS in its last six trips to Winnipeg.
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Edmonton Eskimos (-2) Total: 47 ½
Saskatchewan is tied with Calgary at 8-6 SU (8-6 ATS) for second place in the West after winning five of its last six games. It has covered in its last three games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of its last five. Edmonton is clinging to the final playoff spot at 6-8 SU (8-6 ATS) after snapping a five-game losing streak with last Friday's win. The total has gone OVER in four of its last six games.
The Roughriders lost the last meeting this season 28-20 as two-point road underdogs and have now lost four of the last five meetings SU. The Eskimos hold a slight 3-2 edge ATS during this stretch. The total went OVER the 46-point line in that first game, but it has stayed UNDER in the previous three meetings. The total has actually stayed UNDER in 14 of the last 17 games played in Edmonton.
Sunday, Oct. 14
Montreal Alouettes vs. Toronto Argonauts OFF Total: OFF
Montreal's lead in the East Division remained at one game with the Argonauts' loss on Monday. It is 8-6 SU (6-8 ATS) overall but just 2-4 both SU and ATS on the road this season. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last four games. Toronto has now lost three of its last four games to fall to 7-7 SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in its last three games.
The season series in this heated division rivalry is split at one game apiece with both contests being played in Montreal. The Alouettes have won six of the last eight meetings SU and are 5-3 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in the last three games between the two. Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last seven trips to Toronto.