Grey Cup - Championship
November 19, 2012
By David Schwab
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It took 18 regular-season games and two previous rounds of playoffs, but the teams for the 100th CFL Grey Cup have finally been set. In two of the biggest upsets in CFL postseason history, Toronto advanced to the championship game from the East and Calgary advanced to represent the West.
The Argonauts stunned Montreal 27-20 as five-point road underdogs in Sunday's division final with a huge second-half comeback. The Stampeders outlasted defending champion British Columbia 34-29 as 6 ½ -point road underdogs in the other division final. These two will now meet this Sunday at the Rogers Centre, which just so happens to be Toronto's home field. The following is a betting preview for Sunday's game with betting line provided by 5 Dimes.
Calgary Team Preview
It had been an up and down season for Calgary, but this team is peaking at just the right time with a six-game winning streak that includes a 36-30 victory over Saskatchewan as a six-point home favorite in the division semifinals to go along with Sunday's dramatic win. The Stampeders are now 14-6 straight-up and 11-8-1 against the spread. The total has gone OVER in all six games of this impressive winning streak.
The key to Calgary's success this season is an offense that is averaging close to 30 points a game to complement a defense that was ranked third in the league in points allowed. Quarterback Kevin Glenn was ranked fourth in the CFL in the regular season in total passing yards with 4,220 and Jon Cornish led the league in rushing with 1,457 yards.
Toronto Team Preview
It took Toronto almost the entire regular season just to secure a spot in the postseason, but it has certainly made the most of the opportunity. After finishing second in the East at 9-9 both SU and ATS, it rolled over Edmonton 42-26 as a four-point home favorite in the opening round. The Argonauts improved to 11-9 SU and ATS overall which includes a very pedestrian 5-5 SU (4-6 ATS) record at home. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games after staying UNDER in four previous games.
If the Argonauts are going to successfully complete this most unlikely quest to a Grey Cup title, it will probably be behind the arm of Ricky Ray. He was the team's prized offseason acquisition and he did not disappoint with 4,059 passing yards on the year. Health has been a concern with Ray, especially in the second-half of the season, but he comes into this game injury free. Another player to watch is slot back Chad Owens, who led the league with 94 receptions for 1,328 yards and eight touchdown catches.
Grey Cup Betting Lines and Trends
Pointspread: Calgary -2
Total Line: 54 ½
The Stampeders are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games but 1-4-1 ATS in their last six postseason games. The total has gone OVER in 20 of their last 28 games on the road.
The Argonauts are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU win, but 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four games against a team with a winning record.
These two teams already met twice this season with the Argonauts pulling off the sweep. They won 39-36 in Week 2 as three-point underdogs at home with the total going OVER the 51 ½-point line. On Aug.18, Toronto once again came out on top 22-14 as a 4 ½-point road underdog. This time the total stayed UNDER the 55-point line. Calgary is now 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings and 0-4 ATS in its last five trips to Toronto. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings at the Rodgers Centre.
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