CFL Betting Notes - Week 1
June 24, 2013
By David Schwab
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CFL Betting Preview- Week 1
This Thursday night in Winnipeg the 2013 Canadian Football League kicks off its 18-game regular season schedule that will set the stage for this year’s quest for the Grey Cup Championship in late November. The Toronto Argonauts shocked CFL fans last year with their run to a title after going just 9-9 in the regular season, so anything is possible when it comes to professional football “North of the Border.”
The following is a brief betting preview of all of the CFL Week 1 games with the opening point spread and total line provided by 5Dimes.
Thursday, June 27
Montreal Alouettes vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Point-spread: Montreal -5
Montreal won the East Division last season at 11-7 straight-up but it went just 8-10 against the spread overall. The total went OVER in six of its nine games on the road. The Alouettes season came to sudden end with a stunning 27-20 loss to the Argonauts in the East Division Finals as five-point home favorites.
It was a rough 2012 campaign for the Blue Bombers with an overall 6-12 SU record that had them on the outside looking in come playoff time. They did go 9-9 ATS that included a profitable 6-3 ATS record at home. The stayed UNDER in five of their nine home games.
These two teams met four times in 2012 with each team winning once at home and once on the road SU. They also split the series 2-2 ATS with the total going OVER in the first two meetings and staying UNDER in the final two.
Friday, June 28
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Toronto Argonauts
Point-spread: Hamilton -4 ½
The Tiger-Cats were another team that watched the Grey Cup Playoffs on TV last season after going 6-12 SU. They were somewhat better ATS at 9-9, but they still had a losing 4-5 ATS record on the road. The total went OVER in seven of their nine games on the road.
Toronto went 9-9 ATS as well last season but it proved to be costly at home with a 3-6 record ATS. The total stayed UNDER in 10 of the 18 games with an identical 4-5 record both at home and on the road. It completed a 3-0 run both SU and ATS in the playoffs by beating Calgary in the Grey Cup 35-22 as a 1 ½-point underdog. The total went OVER the 55 ½-point line in that game.
The Argonauts won the regular season series 3-1 both SU and ATS but the margin of victory was just three points in two of the victories. The total went OVER in all four games after staying UNDER in five of the previous six meetings.
British Columbia Lions vs. Calgary Stampeders
Point-spread: BC -2 ½
The Lions won the Grey Cup in 2011 and despite having the best SU record in the CFL last season at 13-5; they could not get past the West Division Finals with a 34-29 loss to the Stampeders as 6 ½-point home favorites. They were 9-9 ATS overall and 3-6 ATS on the road. The total stayed UNDER in seven of their nine road games.
Calgary finished just game back in the West at 12-6 SU and it went 10-8 ATS. It was 4-5 ATS at home and the total went OVER in five of the nine games. Before knocking off the Lions in the divisional final, the Stampeders beat Saskatchewan 36-30 in the semifinals in a game that ended as a PUSH.
BC won the regular-season series 2-1 SU and ATS with the home team winning two of the three games. The total stayed UNDER in two of the three games. Prior to last season, the Lions won four of the previous five meetings SU and had s slight 3-2 edge ATS.
Saturday, June 29
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Edmonton Eskimos
The Roughriders only won eight games in 2012 SU but that was good enough for third place in the West. They also went 8-10 ATS with a 3-6 ATS record on the road. The total went an even 9-9 but it stayed UNDER in five of the nine road games.
Edmonton was a game worse in the West at 7-11 SU, but it still made the playoffs as a crossover team from the division. It was over .500 ATS at 10-8 and a profitable 6-3 ATS at home. The total went OVER in 10 of its 16 games overall and in six of its nine home games.
The home team in this series is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS. Last season, Edmonton won the final two games at home both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in both contests. The total has now gone OVER in five of the last eight meetings.
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