CFL Betting Notes - Week 3
July 8, 2013
By David Schwab
While the favorites went a perfect 4-0 against the spread in Week 1 of the 2013 CFL regular season it was a mixed bag last week with a 2-2 ATS split. Winnipeg avenged an opening-day loss to Montreal at home with a 19-11 road victory last Thursday night as a seven-point underdog. The night-cap saw British Columbia cover by the tightest of margins with a 24-16 win over Toronto as a seven-point home favorite.
Last Friday night, Saskatchewan improved to 2-0 with a 36-21 romp over Calgary as a 2 ½-point home favorite. Edmonton closed-out Week 2 on Sunday with an impressive 30-20 win over Hamilton as a seven-point underdog on the road.
The following is a brief betting preview for Week 3 of the CFL regular season with the opening pointspread and 'over/under' lines provided by TopBet.
Thursday, July 11
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Toronto Argonauts
Total Line 53 ½
The Roughriders are the only unbeaten team left in the CFL after hammering Edmonton 39-18 in their season opener as 2 ½-point road favorites. The total has gone OVER in their first two games and has now gone OVER in six of their last seven games. Saskatchewan has scored the most points in the league while allowing the fewest.
Toronto's six-game winning streak both straight-up and ATS that included a Grey Cup Championship and a 39-34 win over Hamilton as a 3 ½-point home favorite on opening day finally came to an end with the loss to BC. Ricky Ray has picked-up where he left off last season with 583 passing yards and four touchdown throws.
Saskatchewan has gone 6-2 ATS in its last eight trips to Toronto and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 12 games played there between these two teams. The home team in this series is 4-6 SU in the last 10 meetings.
Friday, July 12
Calgary Stampeders vs. Montreal Alouettes
Pointspread: Montreal -2
Total Line: 53
Calgary opened the season with a solid 44-32 victory over BC as a 3 ½-point home favorite to grab the early edge between the two preseason favorites to win the West Division this season. The total has gone OVER in its first two games and it has now gone OVER in its last nine games dating back to mid-October of last season.
Montreal opened the season as a slight favorite to win the East Division and immediately notched a division win by beating Winnipeg 38-33 as a 3 ½-point home favorite. The total went OVER the 49 ½-point line in that game, but it stayed UNDER the 55 ½-point line in Thursday's rematch.
Calgary is 3-1 SU against Montreal in the past four meetings and a perfect 4-0 ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six games between the two. The home team in this matchup is 7-3 SU in the last 10 games.
Saturday, July 13
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Pointspread: Hamilton -4 ½
Total Line: 54
The Blue Bombers will stay in the East Division for the third-straight week. They went 5-5 SU in division play last season, but they were just 2-7 SU on the road. The total has been split this season, but it has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight division games. Buck Pierce is ranked fourth in the CFL in total passing yards with 515 in his first two games.
Hamilton knows it cannot afford to fall into an early 0-3 hole in the standings after missing the playoffs last season with an overall record of 6-12 SU. It was 4-6 SU in division play and over .500 at home SU at 5-4 in 2012. The Tiger-Cats have allowed the most points so far in the league; giving-up a combined 69 points in two games.
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in the last seven meetings and 5-2 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five games. The home team is 5-1 SU in the last six meetings and 4-2 ATS. The average margin of victory in the last five contests has been 14.2 points.
British Columbia Lions vs. Edmonton Eskimos
Pointspread: BC -3 ½
Total Line: 49
The Lions covered for just the second time in their last five games in Thursday's victory over Toronto, but the three losses both SU and ATS came at the hands of Calgary. BC won the West last season at 13-5 SU, but it went just 6-4 SU in division play. The total has gone OVER in four of its last six games.
Edmonton's 10-point win this past Sunday snapped a five-game losing streak SU, but it is 5-5 ATS in its last 10 games. The total has gone OVER in seven of its last nine games. Eskimos' linebacker JC Sherritt has been a force so far with a league-high 15 tackles in his first two games.
BC is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and it has scored 30 points or more in four of those games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last eight games between the two.
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