CFL Betting Notes - Week 14
September 23, 2013
By David Schwab
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The CFL regular season continues to grind on with four non-divisional matchups on this week’s slate. Looking back at the results for Week 13, Edmonton completed a home-and-home sweep over Winnipeg last Friday with a 35-27 victory as a three-point road favorite. This past Saturday’s action kicked things off with Hamilton squeezing by Montreal 28-26 as an eight-point favorite at home. Toronto stayed hot in Saturday’s nightcap with a stunning 33-27 win over Calgary as a 7 ½-point road underdog.
The final game of the week featured a West Division battle between British Columbia and Saskatchewan with the Lions coming away with a huge 24-22 victory as six-point underdogs on the road.
The following is a brief betting preview for Week 14 in the CFL with the opening pointspread and ‘over/under’ lines provided by 5Dimes.
Friday, Sept. 27
British Columbia Lions vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Point-spread: BC -6
Total: 50 ½
The Lions’ win over the Roughriders tightened things up in the division title race with both teams now trailing Calgary by just one game at 8-4 straight up. BC is 6-6 against the spread this season with the total staying UNDER in four of its last seven games. Thomas DeMarco completed 18-of-33 passes for 208 yards and two touchdowns in place of an injured Travis Lulay in Sunday’s game against Saskatchewan.
The Blue Bombers have sunk to the bottom of the CFL in most major categories including wins and losses with an overall record of 2-10 SU (4-8 ATS). They have also given-up the most points in the CFL (368) while averaging the fewest points per game on offense (20.9).
BC is actually just 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings, but 4-0 SU in the last four including a 27-20 victory at home on Aug. 5 as an 11-point home favorite. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings overall.
Saturday, Sept. 21
Calgary Stampeders vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Point-spread: Hamilton -2 ½
Total: 56 ½
Calgary still has the best SU record in the CFL at 9-3 and it has covered in seven of its 12 games this season. The total has gone OVER in seven of the 12 games as well. The Stampeders are 4-2 both SU and ATS on the road this year and the total has stayed UNDER in their last three games away from home.
The Tiger-Cats remain in the thick of the East Division title battle at 6-6 both SU and ATS, which puts them two games in back of Toronto and two games ahead of Montreal. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games after averaging 31 points a game during that stretch.
The Stampeders drew first blood in this season’s series with a 26-22 victory earlier this month as 5.5-point home favorites. Calgary has now won seven of the last eight meetings SU, but Hamilton is 3-1 ATS in the last four. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six games between the two.
Toronto Argonauts vs. Edmonton Eskimos
The Argonauts are arguably the hottest team in the CFL right now after back-to-back victories over Saskatchewan and Calgary as underdogs on the road. They are 8-4 SU (7-5 ATS) overall and 5-1 SU and ATS on the road this season. Zack Collaros continues to do an excellent job at quarterback for an injured Ricky Ray with 1,822 passing yards and 12 touchdown throws.
Edmonton fattened its season record at Winnipeg’s expense the past few weeks but it is still just 3-9 SU (6-6 ATS) on the year. The Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last six games and the total has gone OVER in seven of their last nine contests.
These two met in late August with Toronto coming away with a tight 36-33 victory as a nine-point favorite at home. It has now won the last two games in this matchup SU after losing the previous five meetings. Edmonton has a 4-1 advantage ATS in the last five games and the total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings.
Sunday, Sept. 22
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Montreal Roughriders
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3
Total: 53 ½
The Roughriders’ current skid reached three games with this past Sunday’s loss. They are 8-4 SU and 6-6 ATS after failing to cover in six of their last seven games. The total has gone OVER in three of their last five games. Saskatchewan remains the highest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 31.3 points a game.
Montreal has lost its last three games as well to fall to 4-8 SU on the year. It is also 6-6 ATS overall, but just 2-4 ATS at home this season. The Alouettes have actually covered in four of their last six games and the total has gone OVER in three of their last five.
Saskatchewan beat Montreal 24-21 on Aug. 17, but it could not cover as a 12-point favorite at home. The Alouettes had won seven of the previous nine meetings SU and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five including this season’s first game. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the last four meetings.