CFL Betting Notes - Week 15
October 1, 2013
By David Schwab
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A couple of upsets here and there in Week 14 of the CFL regular season have helped to tighten things up in the race to this year’s Grey Cup Playoffs. Winnipeg was no match for British Columbia last Friday night in a 53-17 drubbing as a 5 ½ -point home underdog. However, Calgary started things off on Saturday with a 35-11 victory as a one-point road underdog against Hamilton.
Toronto continued its impressive run on the road with a 34-22 win over Edmonton as a one-point favorite to close-out Saturday’s games. Saskatchewan’s shocking losing streak reached four games with Sunday’s 17-12 loss to Montreal as a 3 ½ -point favorite on the road.
The following is a brief betting preview for this week’s games in the CFL with the opening pointspread and ‘over/under’ lines provided by 5Dimes.
Friday, Oct. 5
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Toronto Argonauts
Point-spread: Toronto -4
The rubber meets the road in Friday’s East Division clash with the Tiger-Cats trailing Toronto by three games in the title race. They are 6-7 both straight-up and against the spread this season after going 2-3 SU (3-2 ATS) in their last five games. The total has gone OVER in three of those five games.
The Argonauts are coming off a four-game road trip in which they went a perfect 4-0 both SU and ATS. The defending champs are now 9-4 SU (8-5 ATS) on the year and have already clinched a berth in this season’s playoffs. The total has gone OVER in their last four games. Toronto returns home where it is 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS in six previous games this year.
These two opened the regular season against one another with the Argonauts coming away with a 39-34 victory as 3 ½ -point favorites at home. The total went OVER the 56 ½ points. Hamilton is 1-4 both SU and ATS in its last four road games against the Argonauts and the total has gone OVER in the last five meetings overall.
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. British Columbia Lions
Point-spread: BC -3 ½
Total: 52 ½
The Roughriders’ current skid has dropped them to third in the West at 8-5 SU (6-7 ATS) and two games in back of Calgary for the division lead. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the four losses after going OVER in six of their first nine games. Saskatchewan is averaging 29.8 points a game this season, but that number has dropped dramatically to just 19 points during this recent slide.
BC continues to press the Stampeders for the lead in the West with three straight victories both SU and ATS in improve to 9-4 SU (7-6 ATS) on the year. The Lions are a perfect 6-0 SU at home this season and 4-2 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of those six home games. Quarterback Travis Lulay remains questionable for Friday night after missing the last two games with a shoulder injury.
These two met just two weeks ago with BC squeezing-out a 24-22 victory as a six-point road underdog. The total stayed UNDER the 53-point line. The Lions are 7-1 SU in their last eight home games against Saskatchewan and 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings at home. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of the last 11 meetings in BC.
Saturday, Oct. 6
Montreal Alouettes vs. Edmonton Eskimos
Point-spread: Edmonton -3
Montreal’s win this past Sunday breathed new life into its postseason plans, but it is still three games below .500 at 5-8 SU. It is 7-6 ATS with the total staying UNDER in seven of the 13 games. The Alouettes are the second-lowest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 23.2 points a game.
Edmonton desperately needs to win this game to have any chance of making the postseason as a crossover team from the West. Last week’s loss left it two games in back of Montreal for that sixth and final playoff spot at 3-10 SU. The Eskimos are 6-7 ATS this season and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. The total has gone OVER in eight of their last 10 games.
The Alouettes won the first meeting this season 32-27 as four-point home favorites with the total going OVER the 48 ½ -point line. Montreal has dominated this series over the past several seasons with a 9-1 SU mark in the last 10 meetings and an 8-2 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 11 meetings in Edmonton.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Calgary Stampeders
Point-spread: Calgary -16
Total: 54 ½
Winnipeg is left to play the role of spoiler this season after losing 11 of their first 13 games. It is 4-9 ATS with the total going OVER in six of seven home games while staying UNDER in five of six contests on the road. The Blue Bombers remain the lowest scoring team in the CFL while allowing the most points on defense.
Calgary continues to stampede its way to the West Division title with five SU victories in its last six games. It is now a CFL-best 10-3 SU on the year and a profitable 8-5 ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of its six home games. The Stampeders have scored 35 points or more in seven games this year.
The Blue Bombers lost the first meeting this season as 5 ½ -point home underdogs in a 37-24 setback in Week 5. Calgary has won nine of the last 10 games in this series SU, but the record ATS in this matchup is an even 4-4-2 during this stretch. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings.
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