CFL Betting Notes - Week 9
August 18, 2014
By David Schwab
The West Division continued its dominance over the East this past week in the CFL with a 4-1 straight-up record in a rare five-game inter-division schedule. Toronto had to pull double duty coming off a Week 7 bye starting with last Tuesday’s 38-21 rout of Winnipeg as a three-point home favorite. The total in that game went OVER the 51-point closing line.
Last Friday’s lone game saw Edmonton claw its way to a 10-8 victory over Ottawa as a six-point road favorite. The total came nowhere close to the 49-point line. This past Saturday, Calgary continued to impress with a 30-20 win against Hamilton as a 2 ½-point road favorite with the total staying UNDER the 53-point closing line. Later in the day, Saskatchewan ran its SU winning streak to four games with a 16-11 victory over Montreal as a hefty 13-point home favorite. That total stayed UNDER as well against a closing betting line of 49 ½ points.
Toronto was back at it on Sunday as a three-point home underdog and it came up well short against British Columbia in a 33-17 loss that stayed UNDER the 53-point closing line.
Friday, Aug. 22
Montreal (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS) at Winnipeg (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -6 ½
It has been a dismal start to what appears to be a dismal season for the once proud Alouettes, who were the class of the CFL just a few years back. They are the lowest scoring team in the league with an average of just 15.6 points a game and their defense has allowed 30 or more points in four of their last five games.
Winnipeg posted a fast start out of the gate, but that pace has slowed quite a bit with back-to-back losses to Saskatchewan and Toronto the last two weeks. Drew Willy continues to light it up at quarterback with a CFL-high 2,158 passing yards wrapped around a solid completion rate of 65.5 percent.
The Blue Bombers won the first meeting this season 34-33 in early July as three-point road underdogs with the total going OVER the 48 ½-point closing line. They are now 5-1 both SU and against the spread against their former East Division rivals in the last six meetings and the total has gone OVER in three of the last four games in this series.
Saturday, Aug. 23
Toronto (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS) at Edmonton (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -7.5
Despite just three SU wins in its first eight games, Toronto is the toast of the East Division with a two-game lead over the other three teams. Ricky Ray continues to play at a high level with 1,984 passing yards and a league-high 12 touchdown throws, but the Argonauts’ defense has not held up its end of the bargain by allowing an average of 26 points a game.
Edmonton has kept pace with Calgary in the West title race behind an offense that has the top receiver in the CFL in slotback Adarius Bowman and the highest scoring kicker in Grant Shaw. Bowman has 532 yards in catches and Shaw has accounted for 76 points with his leg so far. The Eskimos do have some depth concerns up front with offensive linemen Selvish Capers and Justin Sorensen both listed as questionable for this game.
The will be the first meeting between these two this season, but Toronto brings a SU three-game (2-1 ATS) winning streak against Edmonton into Saturday’s matchup. The total went OVER in all three contests. The total has actually gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings in this series.
Sunday, Aug. 24
Calgary (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) at Ottawa (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -8
The Stampeders have been stomping their way through the league by outscoring their opponents by a combined 77 points in their first seven games. They are averaging 27.3 PPG behind a bruising running game and their defense has been the stingiest in the league by allowing just 16.3 PPG. Jock Sanders has been a force on special teams with 617 return yards on the year.
Things have gone pretty much as expected for the expansion RedBlacks with a 1-6 SU start, but they have looked especially bad against the teams from the West. Just two weeks ago they were more than doubled-up in a 38-17 loss to Calgary after getting torched by Stamps’ quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell for 289 passing yards and three scoring strikes.
Calgary easily covered the 14-point spread at home in that first meeting and the total went OVER the 49-point number. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the Stampeders first seven games this season and it has gone OVER in three of Ottawa’s last four games.
Saskatchewan (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) at British Columbia (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -3 ½
Do not look now, but the defending Grey Cup Champs are building-up a head of steam heading into this critical matchup in the West Division title race. The Roughriders have won their last four games by a combined score of 114-51 and they have not allowed more than 17 points in any of the four contests.
BC has won its last three games including an impressive 25-24 victory over Calgary as a four-point underdog on the road to start this run. Quarterback Travis Lulay is close to 100 percent after missing the first six games with a shoulder injury, but so far Kevin Glenn has been able to hold onto the starting job. He teamed up with Emmanuel Arceneaux for a 53-yard scoring strike this past Sunday to seal the win over Toronto.
The Lions beat Saskatchewan 26-13 on the road in mid-July as five-point underdogs to improve to 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings in BC and overall it has stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 12 games between the two division rivals.
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