CFL Betting Notes – Week 10

Week 9 Betting Recap

In a shortened Week 9 schedule in the CFL, British Columbia got things started on Thursday night with a 31-23 upset against Edmonton as a three-point home underdog. Friday’s contest in Winnipeg ended as a PUSH with the Blue Bombers squeezing past Hamilton 29-23 as a six-point favorite at home.

The betting action came to a close on Saturday night with Ottawa getting the win at home against Montreal straight-up in a final score of 24-17, but the RedBlacks came nowhere close to covering the heavy 14-point closing spread.

Friday, Aug. 17

Ottawa RedBlacks (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-3 SU, 5-2-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -5 ½
Total: 53 ½

Game Overview

Ottawa regained its two-game lead in the East Division with Hamilton’s loss. It will be tested this week after posting an even 2-2 record (SU and ATS) in its first four road games this year. Trevor Harris ended last week’s game against Montreal with a ridiculous 487 yards passing while completing 44 of his 54 passing attempts. Greg Ellington led the way with 11 receptions for 110 yards.

The Blue Bombers held off a Tiger-Cats fourth-quarter rally to secure last week’s win that now has them in a tie with Edmonton for second place in the West. Matt Nichols did not have his best day throwing the ball with 180 yards passing on a completion rate of 54.2 percent, but he did throw a pair of touchdowns to raise his total on the year to seven. Andrew Harris added another 82 yards on the ground behind 16 rushing attempts.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg has a 10-5 SU edge over Ottawa in the last 15 meetings and it has gone 8-3 against the spread in the last 11 matchups. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings.

Saturday, Aug. 18

British Columbia Lions (3-4 SU, 5-2 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -1 ½
Total: 51

Game Overview

BC remained in the thick of the playoff race in the West with last week’s upset and it is now a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four games. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in three of those four games. This was the first time this season that the Lions put up more than 30 points behind an offense that is averaging 22.4 points per game. Travis Lulay led the second-half comeback and he finished the game with 239 yards passing and one touchdown throw.

Toronto is coming off a Week 9 bye after stunning Ottawa 42-41 on a last-second score the week before as a 6 ½-point home underdog. The total went OVER 48 points in that game and it has gone OVER in the Argonauts last three games. James Franklin has taken over the reins at quarterback and in six starts he has just two touchdown throws against six interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- BC has gone 6-1 both SU and ATS in its last seven road games against the Argonauts and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last eight meetings in Toronto.

Montreal Alouettes (1-7 SU, 3-5 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -16 ½
Total: 52

Game Overview

Johnny Manziel is firmly in place as Montreal’s starting quarterback with mixed results. After a forgettable debut in a 50-11 loss to Hamilton, he showed a few glimpses of his athletic ability in last week’s loss to Ottawa. He ended that game with 168 yards passing while completing 16 of his 26 passing attempts. He also ran for 36 yards on three rushing attempts. The Alouettes remain the lowest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 15.0 PPG.

The Eskimos’ recent three-game winning streak came to a sudden end last Thursday night and they are 2-3 ATS in their last five games. The total ended as a PUSH on the 54-point line against BC after staying UNDER in three of their previous four games. Mike Reilly threw for 302 yards in that loss with two touchdown throws and two interceptions. He leads the CFL in touchdown passes this season with 16.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton brings a SU five-game winning streak against Montreal into this inter-division clash with a 8-1 edge ATS in the last nine meetings. The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 11 matchups.

Sunday. Aug. 19

Calgary Stampeders (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -7
Total: 48 ½

Game Overview

The Stampeders’ 27-18 victory over BC heading into last week’s bye was the first time this season they failed to win a game by a double-digit margin of victory. In their dominating run to a perfect 7-0 start, they have averaged 29.4 points scoring. Even more impressive is Calgary’s 86 total points allowed on defense. This defense has yet to give up more than 22 points in any of its first seven games.

Speculation continues to build that Saskatchewan will add former NFL wide receiver Terrell Owens to its active roster after releasing CFL star Duron Carter over the weekend. He has played both defensive back and wide receiver at a high level in this league. The Roughriders are also coming off a bye following back-to-back losses (SU and ATS) to Calgary at home and Edmonton on the road.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won nine of the last 10 meetings in this West Division tilt SU and it is 7-1 ATS in the last eight games between the two. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings in Saskatchewan.