CFL Betting Notes - Week 14
September 10, 2018
By David Schwab
CFL Betting Preview- Week 14 There were quite a few twists and turns in Week 13 with the results having an impact on the playoff race in each division. British Columbia got things started by picking up a key win in the West with Friday night’s 26-14 victory over Ottawa as a slight 1 ½-point home favorite.
In the first of three games on Saturday, Hamilton closed the gap in the East by beating Toronto 36-25 as a five-point favorite on the road. Saskatchewan continued its winning ways by knocking off Winnipeg 32-27 as a four-point road underdog and Edmonton evened up its home-and-home series against Calgary with a 48-42 upset as a two-point underdog at home.
Friday, Sept. 14
British Columbia Lions (4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (3-8 SU, 5-6 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -3
BC continues to bring up the rear in the West, but with last week’s win it is still in contention for a crossover position in the playoffs. The Lions have covered against the spread in five of their last seven games with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in six of those seven contests. One injury note for this Friday is quarterback Travis Lulay, who remains in concussion protocol.
Montreal is coming off a bye after stunning Ottawa 21-11 in Week 12 as a heavy 16-point road underdog. This was the Alouettes second straight-up win in a row and they have now covered in their last four games. Earlier in the season, Montreal traded for quarterback Johnny Manziel, but it may have found its new starter in Antonio Pipkin. He has completed 64.3 percent of his 84 passing attempts for 762 yards through three previous starts.
-- The Lions have won their last five games against the Alouettes both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in seven of the last 10 meetings in Montreal. BC started this season with a 22-10 victory against Montreal as an 8 ½-point favorite at home.
Saturday, Sept. 15
Calgary Stampeders (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -1
Total: 53 ½
Calgary’s breathing room in the West Division title race just became a bit tighter with the loss to its bitter rivals. It is 2-2 SU in its last four games and 1-4 ATS in its last five outings. The total went way OVER 50 points against Edmonton in Week 13 and it has gone OVER in four of the Stampeders last six games. Their points-allowed average has ballooned to 33.5 over their past four contests. Calgary trailed by 20 points in Saturday’s loss heading into the fourth quarter.
The Tiger-Cats have worked their way into a tie for first in the East with a SU three-game winning streak. They have covered in their last two games with the total going OVER in each outing. They are 2-3 ATS at home this season with the total going OVER in three of the five games. Jeramiah Masoli threw for 307 yards and four touchdowns in Saturday’s win at Toronto and Hamilton piled up another 117 yards on the ground.
-- Calgary has covered in five of its last six road games against the Tiger-Cats and the total has stayed UNDER in five of those six games. Back in Week 1, the Stampeders hammered out a 28-14 victory at home against Hamilton as 7 ½-point favorites.
Ottawa RedBlacks (6-5 SU, 4-7 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -4.5
The RedBlacks have started the second half of their season with back-to-back losses both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in each game. They started the season with a 40-17 romp over Saskatchewan as two-point home favorites, but they have only managed to score a combined 25 points in those two recent setbacks. Trevor Harris threw a pair of interceptions in the loss to BC and he now has nine picks on the year against 11 touchdown throws.
The longest current winning streak in the CFL belongs to Saskatchewan at four games both SU and ATS. The recent sweep of Winnipeg with a combined 63 points scored has raised the Roughriders’ scoring average of the year to 25.3 points per game. Much of the team’s recent success could be pinned to the play of quarterback Zach Collaros, but he left Saturday’s game against the Blue Bombers in the fourth quarter with an undisclosed injury.
-- The Roughriders have a SU 4-2 edge in its last six games against Ottawa. However, the RedBlacks have covered the spread in six of the last nine meetings. The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven meetings in Saskatchewan.
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