CFL Betting Notes – Week 9
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
The month of August started with a doubleheader of CFL action last Thursday night. Toronto posted its first straight-up win of the season in dramatic fashion with a stunning 28-27 upset against Winnipeg as a heavy 15-point home underdog. Later that night, Saskatchewan came away with a 24-19 victory against Hamilton covering as a 3 ½-point favorite at home.
Friday night’s game ended with Ottawa outlasting Montreal 30-27 to pull off the upset as a six-point road underdog. Week 8 came to an end on Saturday night with Calgary upending Edmonton 24-18 as a slight one-point underdog at home.
Thursday, Aug. 8
Calgary Stampeders (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -8 ½
Total: 48 ½
Game Overview
First place in the West Division is on the line in this matchup. Calgary has won its last three games SU and it covered against the spread for the first time in its last four outings. The total has stayed UNDER the closing line in the Stampeders’ last five outings.
Nick Arbuckle continues to fill in at quarterback for an injured Bo Levi Mitchell. He threw for 189 yards and one touchdown with one interception in Saturday’s win. Calgary added 55 yards rushing with six different players carrying the ball.
Winnipeg has now dropped its last two games both SU and ATS after losing to Hamilton 23-15 in Week 7 as a two-point road favorite. The total went OVER 49 points in the loss to Toronto after it had stayed UNDER in four of its previous five games.
The Blue Bombers built an early 20-0 lead against the Argonauts in Thursday’s loss before letting things slip away in the second half. Matt Nichols completed 67.7 percent of his 31 passing attempts for 169 yards and one score. Andrew Harris racked up 152 yards and two scores on the ground on 15 carries.
Betting Trends
-- Over 22 games in this heated West Division rivalry, Calgary has won 19 of those meetings SU. The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 12 meetings in Winnipeg.
Friday, Aug. 9
Saskatchewan Roughriders (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -2
Total: 53
Game Overview
The Roughriders are just one game off the pace in the West with a three-game winning streak both SU and ATS. They are 5-2 ATS over their last seven games and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five contests. It stayed UNDER 49 points in Thursday’s win against Hamilton.
Cody Fajardo has established himself as the starting quarterback for Saskatchewan. He threw for 313 yards his last time out while completing an impressive 80.6 percent of his 31 passes. He also led the team in rushing for 56 yards and a score on 9 carries.
Montreal’s three-game winning streak (SU and ATS) came to an end with Friday’s loss to Ottawa. This was the first time the Alouettes closed as favorites this season. The total went OVER 52 points in that loss and it has gone OVER in four of six games this year.Quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. left Friday’s game in the third quarter with a neck and head injury. Antonio Pipkin took his place and completed 8-of-17 passes for 57 yards. Adams’ status for this Friday remains up in the air.
Betting Trends
-- Montreal has covered in five of its last seven home games against Saskatchewan and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings overall. The total has stayed UNDER in 17 of the last 21 meetings in Montreal.
Ottawa RedBlacks (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -9
Total: 49
Game Overview
The RedBlacks got Dominique Davis back at quarterback and they were able to snap a SU four-game losing streak. He put the ball up 34 times and completed 20 passes for 164 yards and a score. The rust was evident with a 58.8 percent completion rate and two interceptions, but his play was good enough to help secure the win. Seven different players caught at least one pass in the winning effort.
Ottawa had scored a combined 50 points in those four previous losses.
Edmonton slipped to 3-3 ATS this season when closing as a favorite. The total stayed UNDER 47 points in Saturday’s loss and it has stayed UNDER in its last five contests. The Eskimos were held scoreless in the first half against Calgary and they managed just 28 yards rushing on nine rushing attempts.
Trevor Harris ended the game with 373 yards passing and two touchdown throws. He is first in the CFL in passing yards this season with 2,304 in seven games. He has tossed 10 touchdowns against just two interceptions.
Betting Trends
-- Edmonton has won 15 of the last 20 meetings SU and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six games between the two. The Eskimos have won nine of their last 10 home games against Ottawa SU.
Saturday, Aug. 10
British Columbia Lions (1-6 SU, 1-6 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -13 ½
Total: 52
Game Overview
BC returns from a bye week with a SU three-game losing streak. It has failed to cover the closing spread in its last four contests. The total went OVER 51 ½ points in a 45-18 loss to Saskatchewan in Week 7 and it has gone OVER in five of the Lions’ first seven games.
Mike Reilly is third in the league in passing with 1,668 total yards on a completion rate of 66.5 percent. He has thrown six touchdowns and six interceptions in his first seven starts for BC.
The Tiger-Cats lost quarterback Jeramiah Masoli for the season in a Week 7 win against Winnipeg as two-point home underdogs. Dane Evans took his place in Thursday’s loss and completed 19-of-29 passes for 196 yards. He threw one touchdown pass to Anthony Coombs and he was picked off once. Evans was able to complete at least one pass to seven different players. He was the team’s leading rusher in that game with 35 yards on four attempts.
Betting Trends
-- Hamilton has a SU 5-2 edge in its last seven home games against the Lions and the total has gone OVER in nine of the last 13 meetings overall in this inter-division clash.
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