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Posted 07/16/2009 at 04:19 PM
My typical approach when looking at Heisman props is to look for value. As such, I usually look past the favorite and see what kind of odds I can get on the 2nd or 3rd choice. Unfortunately, that's what makes this year so difficult. As most everyone knows, for the first time in a long while, there are basically three favorites to win the Heisman this year: past winners Tim Tebow and Sam Bradford along with Texas QB Colt McCoy.
At most books, Tebow is the slight favorite of the three, followed by Bradford and then McCoy. Predictably, you can imagine that if I were to pick one of these three I would go with the best odds which would be McCoy. And I do believe if it's close between those three a lot of voters will give the nod to McCoy to win the award rather than trying to figure out if Bradford of Tebow should win their second.
Looking past the obvious three, there are a couple long shot names I am keeping an eye on: Jahvid Best (RB California) and Jacquizz Rodgers (RB Oregon State). Why? Well, on anyone's list these two are clearly a couple of the best running backs in the nation and with the favorites all being QBs, the path is there for a dominant running back to make a push. Also, don't forget the west coast vote. Neither Tebow, Bradford or McCoy plays out west so Best and Rodgers could capture a ton of votes if they have a strong season.
A couple of guys I am staying away from are Zac Robinson (QB Oklahoma State) and Terrelle Pryor (QB Ohio State). Robinson is just caught in too big of a log jam in the Big 12 behind Bradford and McCoy to separate himself and while Pryor is a wonderful athlete, I don't think he has developed the passing skills needed to win the Heisman.
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