Michigan at Ohio State
January 12, 2013
By David Schwab
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Weekends in men’s college basketball are always jam-packed with a number of great matchups between some of the top teams in the country and this Sunday in no exception. The following is a brief betting guide for the top three showdowns on the slate including our featured game of the day between No. 2 Michigan and No. 15 Ohio State.
Sunday’s Showdown of the Day
No. 2 Michigan Wolverines vs. No. 15 Ohio State Buckeyes (CBS, 1:30 p.m.)
Michigan comes into this matchup as only one of two undefeated teams in the nation along with Duke. Its 62-47 victory over Nebraska this past Wednesday raised its overall record to 16-0 straight up on the year. The Wolverines failed to cover as 21-point home favorites against the Cornhuskers to fall to 4-4 against the spread in their last eight games and 9-5 ATS overall. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six games.
Trey Burke leads the team in scoring with an average 18.2 points a game but it also has three other players scoring in double figures including Tim Hardaway Jr. with 16.3 points and Glenn Robinson III with 12.6. Burke also leads Michigan in assists with 7.3 and Robinson is pulling down a team-high 6.1 rebounds a game. The Wolverines are averaging 80.8 points while shooting a rock-solid 51.4 percent from the field, which is the fourth-highest shooting percentage in the nation. They are averaging 38.4 rebounds a game.
The Buckeyes bounced back from last Saturday’s 74-55 pasting at the hands of No. 12 Illinois as three-point road favorites with a 74-64 victory over Purdue this past Tuesday as eight-point favorites on the road. They are now 12-3 SU on the year and 8-5 ATS. Ohio State returns home where it has won nine of 10 games SU and is 5-3 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of its last six games.
Deshaun Thomas has been a force with a team-high 20.3 points and 6.8 rebounds a game while shooting 47.2 percent from the floor and 40.4 percent from three-point range. Lenzelle Smith Jr. is the only other player averaging over 10 points a game and Aaron Craft leads the team in assists with 4.7. The Buckeyes are shooting a respectable 46.1 percent from the field to average 75.9 points a game. They are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc but have struggled from the foul line; hitting just 66.9 percent of their attempts.
Michigan is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games on the road and 26-10 ATS in its last 36 conference games. The total has gone OVER in seven of its last eight games against the Big Ten.
Ohio State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games and 5-2 ATS in its last seven Big Ten games. The total has gone OVER in 12 of its last 15 games at home.
Head-to-head, the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in three of the last five games between the two. The Wolverines have covered in seven of the last nine meetings.
The Best of the Rest
No. 23 Wichita State Shockers vs. Evansville Aces (ESPN3, 4:35 p.m.)
The Shockers extended their current winning streak to six games with an 82-76 victory over Southern Illinois this past Wednesday as 15-point favorites at home. They are now 15-1 SU on the year and 8-5 ATS with the total going OVER in their last three games. Wichita State is averaging 71 points a game and shooting 45.8 percent from the field. Cleanthony Early leads the team with 15.4 points a game.
Evansville improved to 10-6 SU overall and 3-1 SU in the Missouri Valley Conference with a 62-59 victory over Northern Iowa this past Wednesday as a 5 ½ -point road underdog. It is now 8-5 ATS with the total staying UNDER in two of its last three games. The Aces are shooting 45 percent from the floor and averaging 69.6 points a game. They have struggled under the boards this season with an average of just 32.6 rebounds but defensively they are holding opponents to 63.6 points a game.
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. No.22 Michigan State Spartans (Big Ten Network, 6:00 p.m.)
Nebraska’s loss to Michigan this week dropped its record to 9-7 SU overall and 1-4 SU on the road. It is an even 7-7 ATS and the total has stayed UNDER in its last five games with a posted line. The Cornhuskers are ranked near the bottom of Division I in scoring with just 58.4 points a game and pulling down just 32.8 rebounds a game. They have also had their troubles shooting the ball with a field goal percentage of 41.8.
The Spartans should continue to climb in the rankings this week with a 62-59 victory over Iowa this past Thursday to improve to 13-3 SU overall and 2-1 SU in Big Ten play. They covered as two-point road underdogs but are still just 5-8 ATS on the year. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five games. Michigan State is shooting close to 47 percent from the field but just 33.3 percent from three-point range. Keith Appling leads the team with 14.2 points and 4.4 assist a game.
10-3 L13 G-Plays, +2,010 TY
10-3 L13 Picks, 13-4 L17 G-Plays
14-5 L19 G-Plays, 24-10 L34 Picks
13-6 L19 Picks, 6-1 L7 G-Plays
5-1 L6, 11-4 Guarantees TY
3-0 L3, 16-8 L24 Guarantees
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