User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto
Soccer
Horses
More
Betting Tools

 
Fading Home 'Dogs

New Sportsbook.ag customers: Make your 1st bet, get your 2nd bet free, 100%, winnings paid in cash.
Join Now

Already have an account? Click here to view new Exclusive Rewards!

RUSTY HOME 'DOGS

Generally speaking, the first rule most good handicappers look to apply is ferreting out live underdogs that have a realistic shot at winning the game. That’s because three things can happen when you bet on an underdog – and two of them are good (my pet handicapping philosophy).

Advertisement
There are, however, certain 'dogs that can bite the hand that feeds them if they are not conditioned to win. For the most part they are either bad teams with faulty defenses or fatigued to the point where their stats simply don’t matter.

On the opposite end of fatigue are teams who become a bit too rusty due to an excessive amount of time off. This rule especially holds true to teams in College Basketball.

We call them the Rust Brigade. That’s because…

College Hoops Home 'Dogs with 7 Or More Days Of Rest Turn to Rust

Too much rest tends to make teams lethargic.

That’s confirmed by the fact that Division-1 College Basketball teams playing at home as conference dogs with 7 or more days of rest during the regular season are 66-99-3 ATS since 1990.

That’s a dismal 40.7% ATS, making these teams prime ‘Play Against’ material.

Worse…

Rusty Home 'Dogs Off back-To-Back Losses Simply Don’t Care

Lethargic home 'dogs playing poorly continue to play badly.

Once again, the numbers do not lie. College Basketball teams playing off back-to-back losses at conference home as dogs with 7 or more days of rest during the regular season are 22-43 ATS since 1990.

Put them up against non-fatigued opponents (ones that have at least 3 days of rest) and they dip to 11-34 ATS in this role.

Even worse…

Poor Rusty Home 'Dogs Off Back-To-back Losses Really Disappear

There is nothing worse than a team that knows it’s beat before they take the court.

That is born out by the fact that these rusty home 'dogs with a losing record, playing off back-to-back losses against well-rested (three or more days of rest) conference opponents are just 7-31 ATS since 1990.

Worse, these pacified puppies are a paltry 1-16 ATS in this role from Game Eighteen out!

There you have it. Another solid betting strategy to follow from now until the College Conference Tourneys begin later this month.

Enjoy the games and remember to let sleeping dogs lie.

  
HEADLINES
SportsBoss: SBPI Ratings - (3/1/15)
Sportsbook: UGA looks to pull upset
Marshall: Mid-Major Tournaments
Sportsbook: Kansas hosts West Virginia
Feist: Big 12 Analysis
Fisher: Five Teams to Watch - Part II
Iskoe: College Hoops Report
Iowa St. rallies, stuns Oklahoma 77-70
UVA shrugs off slow start, tops 'Cuse
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NCAA BK College Basketball Handicapper Sports Picks Records
NCAA BK  Hot Streaks
5-0 Last Sat., 15-3 L3 Saturdays
15-8 L23 Guarantees, +1,592 TY
17-9 L26 Guarantees, +1,535 TY
7-2 L9 Picks, 10-3 L13 G-Plays
10-3 L13 G-Plays, +1,377 TY
15-5 L20 Guaranteed Plays
7-1 L8 Over/Under Plays
6-2 Last 8 G-Play Streak
10-6 L16 Guarantees
6-2 Over/Unders This Year
4-0 Record Last 2 Days
NCAA BK College Basketball Expert Tournament Picks
2014 CBK SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Kevin Rogers + 1592
Michael Black + 1535
John Fisher + 1377
Last 7 Day Leaders
Handicapper Money
Dave Cokin + 562
The SportsBoss + 371
Brian Edwards + 336
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Michael Black 55 %
John Fisher 54 %
Stephen Nover 54 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Kevin Rogers + 1440
John Fisher + 1379
Doc's Sports + 693
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Kyle Hunter + 1779
Scott Pritchard + 465
Andy Iskoe + 380
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
The Gold Sheet + 491
Kyle Hunter + 452
Antony Dinero + 286
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
VI Daily Fantasy Sager Bomb