Inside the Stats
February 21, 2014
By Marc Lawrence
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Let’s take inside the stats at what’s happening on the College Hoops and NBA hardwood this season as we enter this weekend’s action.
Note that all results are ATS (Against The Spread) unless noted otherwise.
After The Break
With the 2014 NBA All-Star game now in the rear view mirror, let’s take a look at the very best or very worst situational roles teams have managed this season as they head out of the break.
All results are from this season.
Atlanta - 5-0 fav off DD win
Boston - 1-6 off DD win
Brooklyn - 0-5 away vs. opp off DD win
Charlotte - 1-6 off BB wins
Chicago - 10-1 vs. opp off win DD win
Cleveland - 0-9 fav vs. .375 > opp
Dallas - 9-0 vs. non-con opp off win
Denver - 0-5 dog with no rest
Detroit - 1-10 non-con games off loss
Golden State - 5-0 SUATS off loss 12 >
Houston - 1-7-1 vs. .333 < opp
Indiana - 4-0 SUATS w/3 or more days of rest
LA Clippers - 8-0 off SU favorite loss
LA Lakers - 4-0 w/3 or more days of rest
Memphis - 5-0 away vs. opp off BB SUATS wins
Miami - 1-9 home off SUATS win
Milwaukee - 0-7 vs. .638 > opp
Minnesota - 5-0 off SU fav loss vs. opp off win
New Orleans - 3-0 home vs. opp off SU dog win
New York - 1-12 dog 5 < points
Oklahoma City - 4-0 SUATS off loss 3 < points
Orlando - 1-5 away vs. opp off BB losses
Philadelphia - 1-7 home vs. opp off BB losses
Phoenix - 8-0 away vs. < .400 opp
Portland - 4-0 dog vs. non-con opp
Sacramento - 0-6 off loss vs. opp off BB SUATS wins
San Antonio - 0-8 vs. .666 > opp
Toronto - 6-0 dog vs. opp w/no rest
Utah - 0-4 off BB SUATS wins
Washington - 6-0 vs. division opp
Finally, only Milwaukee failed to win back-to-back games the first half of the season. The Bucks were 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS in games after a victory.
With college conference play heading down the stretch, here is a look at the leading trends inside each of the major loops.
All results are from conference games played this season.
Best Conference Trend: Double-digit favorites off a win are 14-5-1
Best Team: SMU 10-4 / Worst Team: Central Florida 3-10
Best Conference Trend: Road teams off a DD win are 24-8-1
Best Team: Virginia 11-3 / Worst Team: Notre Dame 4-9-1
Best Conference Trend: Home favs off BB wins are 16-4
Best Team: Providence, Villanova, Xavier 8-5 / Worst Team: Butler 4-9-1
Best Conference Trend: Road teams are 11-1-1 vs. opp off DD win
Best Team: Nebraska 10-2 / Worst Team: Illinois 4-9-1
Best Conference Trend: 2-11 favorites off BB loses
Best Team: Texas Tech 9-4 / Oklahoma State 3-10
Best Conference Trend: Dogs off a SU underdog win are 3-9
Best Team: UCLA 10-3 / Worst Team: USC 3-9
Best Conference Trend: Home dogs are 11-2 vs. opp off SUATS win
Best Team: Tennessee 8-5 / Worst Team: LSU 4-7-1
Listed below are the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin.
Look to 'play on' these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:
Defensive Field Goal Percentage
1. SMU 37.1
2. Eastern Michigan 37.7
3. Southern 37.9
4. Arizona 38.1
5. Cal Irvine 38.3
1. Quinnipiac +11.7
2. Iowa +10.6
3. Kentucky +10.5
4. Arizona +9.9
5. Indiana +9.9
Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams:
1. Pacers 90.7
2. Bulls 92.3
3. Grizzlies 94.5
4. Raptors 96.7
5. Bobcats 97.1
1. Thunder +4.9
2. Pacers +4.5
3. Bulls +3.6
4. Trailblazers +3.3
5. Rockets +3.3
Stat of The Week
Ohio State is 11-1 ATS with double-digit loss revenge in conference games, including 9-0 ATS the last nine.
4-1 Y'day, 16-5 G-Plays, +3,444 TY
19-7 L3 Days, +1,810 This Season
12-2 L14, +2,423 G-Plays TY
3-0 L3 G-Plays, +3,188 Totals TY
5-1 L2 Days, 29-12 Win Streak
4-1 Yesterday, +1,797 This Year
13-6 L19, 23-11 L34 Selections
3-0 Yesterday, 5-1 L6 Guarantees
9-3 L12 G-Plays, 20-10 L30 Picks
11-4 Last 15 Guaranteed Plays
16-7 L23 Guarantees, +1,375 TY
6-1 L7 Picks, 19-6 L25 Totals
13-6 L19, 28-12 L40 Guarantees
8-3 L11 Picks, 13-6 L19 G-Plays