Friday's Tips - Session 1
March 20, 2014
By David Schwab
(14) Mercer vs. Duke (3) – Midwest Regional (CBS, 12:15 p.m. ET)
Duke opened as a 10 ½-point favorite but this has climbed to 13 points pretty much across the board. The total has settled-in between 140 ½ and 141 ½
Mercer (9-4): Mercer opened its season with a loss to Texas (76-73) and in early December it fell to Oklahoma (96-82) in it only two games against tournament teams.
Duke (10-3): The Blue Devils fell to Kansas (94-83) and Arizona (72-66) in the month of November, but bounced back the next month with victories over Michigan (79-69) and UCLA (80-63).
Mercer: The Bears closed-out the regular season 2-2 including a 75-61 loss to Florida Gulf Coast, but bounced back with a 68-60 victory over the Eagles in the Atlantic Sun title game.
Duke: The Blue Devils were stunned by Virginia (72-63) in the ACC Tournament title game to go 3-2 in their last five outings. The other loss was to Wake Forest (82-72) in early March.
Mercer: The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six non-conference games and 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral-site games.
Duke: The Blue Devils are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games.
(11) Nebraska vs. Baylor (6) – West Regional (truTV, 12:40 p.m. ET)
Baylor opened as a 2 ½-point favorite and this line has jumped to 3 ½ as the week wore on. The total is set anywhere between 130 ½ and 131 ½.
Nebraska (8-4): The Cornhuskers did not post too many memorable wins earlier in the season, but they did lose to UMass (96-90), Creighton (82-67) and Cincinnati (74-59).
Baylor (12-1): Baylor’s non-conference schedule was not all that challenging, but it did beat Kentucky (67-62). The lone loss was to Syracuse (74-67).
Nebraska: Nebraska closed-out the regular season on an 8-1 run including a victory over Wisconsin (77-68) in its season finale, but it fell to Ohio State (71-67) in its only Big Ten Tournament game.
Baylor: The Bears’ six-game winning streak came to an end with a loss to Iowa State (74-65) in the Big 12 Tournament Championship after posting wins against Oklahoma (78-73) and Texas (86-69) to get to the title game.
Nebraska: Nebraska is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games and the total has stayed UNDER in 12 of their last 16 outings.
Baylor: The Bears have covered in eight of their last 12 games and the total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight non-conference games.
(10) Stanford vs. New Mexico (7) – South Regional (TBS, 1:40 p.m. ET)
The current line has the Lobos favored by 3 ½ points after opening at two points. The total line has held steady at 137 to 137 ½.
Stanford (9-3): The Cardinal lost to BYU (112-103), Pittsburgh (88-67) and Michigan (68-65), but they did post a quality win against Connecticut (53-51) along the way.
New Mexico (9-3): The Lobos played a fairly aggressive schedule that included losses to UMass (81-65) and Kansas (80-63). There lone win against a tournament team came against Cincinnati (63-54).
New Mexico: 14-4
Stanford: The Cardinal stumbled down the stretch with three straight losses in their last four games and they bowed-out of the Pac-12 Tournament with a lopsided loss to UCLA (84-59).
New Mexico: New Mexico was able to avenge a tight season-ending loss to San Diego State (51-48) with a victory over the Aztecs (64-58) in the MWC Tournament Championship.
Stanford: The Cardinal are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Mountain West, but they come in with a 1-5-1 ATS record in their last seven games overall.
New Mexico: The Lobos have covered in nine of their last 12 games against a team with a SU winning record and they have gone 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
(16) Weber State vs. Arizona (1) – West Regional (TNT, 2:10 p.m. ET)
Arizona opened as a 14 ½-point favorite in this matchup, but it have been driven all the way up to 20 points as of Thursday’s lines. The total has have been on an upward trend as well going from 124 ½ to 127 ½ over the past few days.
Weber State (3-5): Weber State played a very light schedule that started off with a loss to BYU (81-72) and ended with a loss to UCLA (83-60)
Arizona (13-0): A few of the more notably victories during this perfect run came against San Diego State (69-60), Duke (72-66) and Michigan (72-70).
Weber State: 7-9
Weber State: Weber State punched its ticket to the Big Dance with a victory over North Dakota (88-67) in the Big Sky Tournament Finals, but it did lose two of its last three games to close-out the regular season.
Arizona: The Wildcats were stunned by UCLA (75-71) in the Pac-12 Tournament Championship and they lost to Oregon (64-57) earlier in March to go 2-2 in their last four games overall.
Weber State: The Wildcats are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine neutral-site games and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five games played at a neutral site.
Arizona: These Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight neutral-site games and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games played outside the Pac-12.
18-5 L23 G-Plays, 26-9 L35 Picks
14-7 L21, 22-10 L32, 38-19 TY
5-2 L7 G-Plays, +1,849 Overall TY
4-0 L4 CBK Picks/Guarantees
15-5 L20 Run, 7-3 L10 G-Plays
4 Straight G-Play Winners
11-6 L17 Picks, +1,567 TY
5-1 L6 G-Plays, 6-2 L8 Picks
4-1 Last 5 CBK Over/Unders
5-1 Last 6 CBK Selections
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