Friday's Tips - Session 2
March 20, 2014
By David Schwab
(11) Tennessee vs. UMass (6) – Midwest Regional (CBS, 2:45 p.m. ET)
This morning’s opening line had Tennessee favored as a 2 ½-point favorite over UMass after last night’s win over Iowa (78-65). Since then it has quickly jumped to four points. The total has been set at 136.
Tennessee (9-4): The Volunteers lost back-to-back games to Wichita State (70-61) and NC State (65-58) in mid-December, but on the plus side they closed-out the month with romp over Virginia (87-52)
UMass (13-1): The Minutemen did not play the most daunting schedule, but along with the win over New Mexico (81-65), they also beat Nebraska (96-90), BYU (105-96) and Providence (69-67)
Tennessee: Along with Wednesday night’s victory over the Hawkeyes, the Volunteers have gone 6-1 in their last seven games with the only loss coming against Florida (56-49) in the SEC Tournament semifinals.
UMass: The Minutemen are just 3-3 in their last six games including a loss to George Washington (85-77) in the A-10 Tournament quarterfinals.
Tennessee: The Volunteers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games and the total has stayed UNDER in all six contests
UMass: UMass has gone 0-5-1 ATS in their last six outings and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 non-conference games.
(14) Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Creighton (3) – West Regional (truTV, 3:10 p.m. ET)
Creighton opened as a 14 ½-point favorite and the line has dropped slightly to 14 points. The total was set at 154 ½ and it has held steady throughout the week.
Louisiana-Lafayette (9-4): The Ragin’ Cajuns played two tournament teams this season, but they were not competitive in losses Baylor (87-68) and Louisville (113-74).
Creighton (12-2): The Bluejays’ two setbacks came in back-to-back losses to San Diego State (86-80) and George Washington (60-53) in the Wooden Legacy Tournament.
Louisiana-Lafayette: The Ragin’ Cajuns comes into this tournament on a four-game run after stunning Georgia State (82-81) in the Sun Belt Tournament’s title game.
Creighton: The Bluejays went just 3-3 in their last six games including two losses to Providence. The second loss to the Friars (65-58) came in the Big East Tournament’s title game.
Louisiana-Lafayette: UL-Lafayette is just 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 games against a team with a SU winning record.
Creighton: The Bluejays are 1-6-1 ATS in their last seven games in the NCAA Tournament. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven neutral-site games.
(15) Eastern Kentucky vs. Kansas (2) – South Regional (TBS, 4:10 p.m. ET)
This line opened with Kansas favored by 13 points but now it is hovering between 14 and 14 ½ points. The total has taken a big jump from 144 ½ to anywhere between 150 to 151 points.
Eastern Kentucky (9-4): The Colonels lost to NC State (75-56), VCU (71-68) and Wisconsin (86-61) in a brutal four-game stretch late November and early December.
Kansas (9-4): The Jayhawks also went 1-3 in the exact same time-frame with losses to Villanova (63-59), Colorado (75-72) and Florida (67-61). They also fell to San Diego State (61-57) in their final non-conference game.
Eastern Kentucky: 12-7
Eastern Kentucky: Starting with a win against Jacksonville State (86-65) on Feb. 15, the Colonels are riding a seven-game winning streak including a victory over Belmont (79-73) in the Ohio Valley Championship.
Kansas: The Jayhawks dropped three of their last five games including a double-digit loss to Iowa State (94-83) with Joel Embiid sitting out the Big 12 title game.
Eastern Kentucky: The Colonels are 5-2 ATS during their current seven-game winning streak and the total has gone OVER in five of the games.
Kansas: The Jayhawks have failed to cover in seven of their last nine non-conference games. The total has stayed UNDER in 21 of their last 26 NCAA Tournament games.
(9) Oklahoma State vs. Gonzaga (9) – West Regional (TNT, 4:40 p.m. ET)
The Cowboys opened as one-point favorites, but this has been driven up to three points on most boards. The total is currently set between 139 and 139 ½ after opening at 143 ½.
Oklahoma State (12-1): The Cowboys rolled through the non-conference portion of the program, but in an odd scheduling quirk, they split a pair of games against Memphis.
Gonzaga (10-3): The Bulldogs lost to Dayton (84-79) and Kansas State (72-62) in their first 13 games this season and in the middle of their WCC schedule they lost to Memphis (60-54) as well.
Oklahoma State: 8-9
Oklahoma State: The Cowboys closed-out the regular season with a loss to Iowa State (85-81) to snap a four-game winning streak. They were eliminated from the Big 12 Tournament with a loss to Kansas (77-70).
Gonzaga: The Bulldogs won the WCC regular season title with a record of 15-3 and they ran their current winning streak to five games with a victory over BYU (75-64) in the tournament title game.
Oklahoma State: The Cowboys are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games, but just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 neutral-site games.
Gonzaga: The Bulldogs have covered in four of their last five games, but they are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games.
7-1 L8, 21-6 Run, 13-5 G-Plays
3-1 Sunday, 14-5 L19 G-Plays
4-2 Sun., 5-2 G-Plays, +6,392 O/Us
6-0 L6 Guarantees, 11-3 L14 Picks
10-3 L13, 31-11 Run, 12-3 G-Plays
39-21 L60 Picks, +6,541 TY
4-0 L4 G-Plays, 6-1 L4 Days
6-3 L9, 12-5 L17 Picks, +2,099 TY
3-0 L3, 8-3 L11 Guarantees
15-7 L22 Picks, 11-3 Totals TY
26-12 Run, 13-4 L17 G-Plays
4-0 L4 G-Plays, 6-1 L7 Days
7-3 L10, 17-8 L25 Guarantees
10-4 L3 Days, +5,745 L33 Days
14-7 L21 Over/Under Plays
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