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Sweet 16 Trends

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If you are a player or a coach, there is nothing sweeter this time of the year than being alive in the NCAA Tournament. For those teams that survived the opening two rounds of this main event it’s on to the Sweet 16 and, hopefully, the Elite 8 this weekend. Here are the essential notes and trends of the Sweet 16 teams that have arrived. Stay tuned.

NCAA SWEET 16 ROUND NOTES
-- #1 Seeds vs. opp off BB ATS wins are 47-7 SU (Florida)
-- #2 Seeds are 14-6 ATS vs. opponents off a SU dog win (Wisconsin)
-- #3 Seed favs off BB SUATS wins are 2-12 ATS (Iowa State)
-- #4 Seed dogs < 8 points are 8-0 ATS (San Diego State and UCLA)
-- #6 Seeds off a DD ATS win are 2-8 ATS (Baylor)
-- #8 Seed dogs are 4-0 ATS (Kentucky)
-- #10 or worse Seeds vs. #1 or #2 Seeds are 1-33 SU (Tennessee)

Best Team ATS records in this round
Kentucky is 4-0, Louisville 6-1, Arizona and Connecticut 4-1

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Worst Team ATS records in this round

UCLA is 1-6

Best Conference ATS records in this round
Big 12: 6-2, SEC: 11-6, Atlantic Ten: 7-3

Worst Conference ATS records in this round
Big Ten: 5-10

NCAA ELITE 8 ROUND NOTES
-- #1 Seed favs > 7 pts are 1-8 ATS
-- #2 Seeds are 2-10-1 ATS off a DD ATS win
-- #3 Seeds are 1-9 ATS
-- #4 Seeds are 11-1 ATS
-- #5 Seeds are 7-0 ATS
-- #6 Seeds are 1-7 SU
-- #7 Seeds are 0-6 SU
-- #8 Seeds are 4-1 ATS
-- Teams that score 67 < pts are 13-44 SU & 13-43-1 ATS
-- Teams that score 85 > pts are 28-7 SU & 25-8-2 ATS
-- Teams off BB ATS losses are 7-3 ATS
-- Teams with Revenge are 16-4-1 ATS
-- Dogs off 3 straight DD wins are 1-5-1 ATS

Best Conference ATS records in this round
SEC: 4-0 as favs > 7 pts, Big 10: 5-1, Pac 12: 5-1

Worst Conference ATS records in this round
Big 12: 1-11, SEC: 2-6 as favs < 7 pts

COACH ME IF YOU CAN
-- Florida’s Billy Donovan is 6-0 SU and ATS in the NCAA tournament from the Sweet 16 out versus .825 or greater opposition.

I’ll be back next week with a final look at FINAL FOUR and Championship game action.

  
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