VegasInsider.com
VI Mobile Scores and Betting OddsVI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds Be Social
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Auto
Golf
Horses
More
Betting Tools

 
UVA looks to avoid 1-16 upset
Check out more March Madness Odds at Bookmaker.eu!

UMBC vs. Virginia ATS Picks

The Maryland Baltimore County Retrievers pulled the shocker of all shockers by disposing of the Vermont Catamounts at the buzzer in the America East Tournament finals as 9.5-point underdogs. Their reward for doing so is a first round matchup with the NCAA Tournament top-seeded Virginia Cavaliers.

Big dogged UMBC is more than likely to face a steep uphill climb in this one with UVA’s “pack-line” defense expected to have its way against such an overmatched opponent.

No. 16 UMBC Retrievers vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Date and Time: Friday, March 16, 2018, 9:20 p.m. ET
Location: Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
Opening NCAA Tournament Odds: Virginia -23, O/U 120.5
UMBC vs. Virginia TV Coverage: TNT

The Retrievers won 24 games in the regular season and went a commendable 12-4 in conference play. They entered the conference tournament as the No. 2 seed where it went on to dispose of UMASS Lowell and Hartford as nine and 3.5-point favorites respectively. Then in one of its biggest wins of the season, UMBC controlled its matchup with the Catamounts taking a 37-35 lead with it into the break before punching its ticket to the dance at the game’s death.

Most shocking about the outright win was the fact that Vermont romped them by an average of 21.5 points per game in both regular season skirmishes. UMBC currently checks in as the No. 184 ranked team in the country per the current Pomeroy Ratings. It played to an overall schedule strength ranked No. 296 and a non-conference schedule strength ranked No. 278.

Advertisement
It’s toughest opponent played to date came in the form of the Arizona Wildcats whom they pushed against back on November 12 as 25-point underdogs. Remember, it took the Wildcats about a month before they started firing on all cylinders yet they still had no problem disposing of the Retrievers.

There’s not much to report on the Cavaliers here. They proved to be the best team in the country over the course of the regular season, and they look to be every bit as good as their 31-2 straight up and 20-9-1 against the spread records suggest.

In year’s past, the defense is what allowed for UVA to be successful in both non-conference and ACC play. While Tony Bennett’s stop unit is still one of the best in the country, he finally has an offense to pair with it that should allow for the program to make its deepest run in the NCAA tournament since taking over the reins in Charlottesville.

The unit has shot better than 46 percent from the field, knocks its long range attempts down at a 39.0 percent clip ( No. 29 ) and has been nothing short of money from the charity stripe ( No. 39 ). All those facets paired with a defense allowing the fewest points in the country ( 53.4 PPG ) is the main reason why Virginia is one of the heavy favorites to cut the nets down in April ( +555 ).

Matchup to Watch

In its 65-62 win over Vermont, the Retrievers connected on 10 of 22 long range attempts. The 3-ball is a huge component to the offense’s overall success. It knocks them down at a 38.7 percent clip ( No. 34 ), and accounts for 40.7 percent of the 73.9 points the team averages per game. Good luck coming close to those outputs against a Virginia defense that allows just over a 30 percent conversion rate from beyond the arc ( No. 5 ) and an average of just 6.2 3-point makes per game ( No. 17 ). Take UMBC’s long range prowess out of the equation, and they’ll have no shot of keeping this game competitive or covering the hefty amount of points oddsmakers have given them in this first round matchup.

UMBC vs. Virginia Free Picks

UVA has teams like Kentucky, Arizona, Tennessee and Cincinnati in their region. In other words, the Selection Committee did them absolutely no favors in their trek to win the title. What they did however do was serve up a softy for their first round matchup, and I fully expect the Wahoos to take full advantage. This is going to be an all-out massacre that finds Virginia likely ahead of the full game spread 10 minutes into the game. While I have no reservations laying the lofty chalk, I do worry about the bench warmers coming in late and mucking it up. With that, I’d look to ride UVA in the first half larger than I would the full game spread. It’s seriously possible the Retrievers fail to reach 40 points in this game and I’m typing that with a straight face.

NCAA Tournament ATS Pick: Bet Virginia - at BookMaker.eu
NCAA Tournament Score Prediction: Virginia 75 – UMBC 38

  
HEADLINES
· Schwab: Friday - Session 1
· Rogers: Friday - Session 2
· Mejia: Friday - Session 3
· BetOnline.ag: Friday's Early Best Bets
· Marshall: Dark Horses to Watch
· Wofford tops Seton Hall, 84-68
· Baylor downs Syracuse, 'over' hits
· Florida knocks out Nevada, 70-61
· Villanova slips by St. Mary's
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NCAA BK College Basketball Handicapper Sports Picks Records
NCAA BK Hot Streaks
5-0 NCAA Record L2 Days
4-0 Last 2 Days, +1,680 TY
3-0 Thursday, 6-2 L8 Guarantees
4-2 Y'day, 10-5 Picks, 22-7 G-Plays
9-4 Picks, 7-2 G-Plays, +2,873 TY
+4,631 Net Profits Last 16 Days
26-10 L36 Picks, 62% +2,834 TY
13-5 L18 G-Plays, 25-14 L39 Picks
20-12 L32 Picks, +2,240 TY
4-1 L5 G-Plays, 16-4 Totals
10-5 Last 15 Over/Unders
2-0 G-Plays, 8-4 L12 Selections
10-5 L15 Guarantees, +1,712 TY
10-4 L14 G-Plays, 11-6 L17 Picks
22-9 Last 31 Over/Unders
+1,168 Overall This Year
3-0 Last 3 NCAA BK Picks
NCAA BK College Basketball Expert Sports Picks - NCAA Tournament - Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
2018 CBK SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Kyle Hunter + 2873
Stephen Nover + 2834
Brian Bitler + 2240
Last 7 Day Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bruce Marshall + 920
The Gold Sheet + 829
Joe Nelson + 473
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Stephen Nover 62 %
Kyle Hunter 59 %
Brian Bitler 57 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Kyle Hunter + 3179
The Gold Sheet + 1939
Scott Rickenbach + 1580
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Kyle Hunter + 2087
NeiltheGreek + 1346
Bill Marzano + 1067
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
The Gold Sheet + 1634
Joe Williams + 1122
Brian Bitler + 1042
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, SAVE 10% off a Live Odds Pro subscription, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
VI Gold Membership