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College Basketball

Oregon vs. USC Predictions, Odds, Preview

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
6 minute read

Feb. 22, 2021
Thom Cunningham
NCAA BK Expert
VegasInsider.com

The Oregon Ducks hit the road for a massive Pac-12 hoops game, taking on the conference-leading USC Trojans. Tip for this big clash is set for 9 p.m. (ET) and will air on FS1.

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Oregon-USC Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: USC -5
  • Money-Line: USC -180 Oregon +160
  • Total: 137.5

Odds Subject to Change

USC gets the nod from sportsbooks, given a -5-point spread at home. The Trojans have covered 14 of their last 22 games, while Oregon is split on the ATS at 9-9.

The point total is set at 137.5, which both schools lean OVER on. Oregon has gone OVER the point total in 10 of 18 games this season, while USC has gone OVER in 13 of 22 games.


The Oregon Ducks have won four straight games entering their road clash against the conference leading USC Trojans. (AP)

Betting Analysis – Oregon Ducks

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 14-4
  • ATS: 9-9
  • SU - Home: 9-2
  • SU - Away: 5-2
  • O/U: 10-8

The Ducks are fully healthy, and on a four-game winning streak which includes a home stand against Colorado. A true test emerges in Los Angeles, as a difficult Trojans team stands in their way. Chris Duarte and Eugene Omoruyi can take over any game, each averaging over 17 points per game.

Will Richardson has been very productive since returning, averaging 11.3 points per game and a team-high 3.3 assists. The Oregon defense is typically overlooked, only allowing 66.2 points per game. The Ducks also average 7.6 steals per game (ranks 70th in the nation), and average almost four blocks per game (ranks 76th in the nation).

Oregon also holds the 87th-most efficient offense, shooting high percentages all over the court. They shoot 46.2% from the field (ranks 69th), they shoot 52.7% from two-point range (ranks 87th), and shoot 35.5% from three-point territory (ranks 99th).

Betting Analysis – USC Trojans

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 18-4
  • ATS: 14-8
  • SU - Home: 11-3
  • SU - Away: 7-1
  • O/U: 13-9

USC is coming off a tough home loss to Arizona, snapping a seven-game winning streak for the Trojans. It also marked the first game USC surrendered 80-plus points over its last 20 games. The last time USC allowed that many points was to Cal Baptist on Nov. 25 in the first game of the season.

Things don't get easier, as a dangerous Ducks' offense with surging momentum await. The play of Tahj Eaddy is enormous in this game, as the senior who averages over 13 points per game will be leaned on in key situations of this game. He played well against Arizona, and will need a similar performance against Oregon.

Evan Mobley is the most important player however, and will have to continue his dominant play as well. Although Drew Peterson has lacked production lately, Isaiah Mobley has picked up his. He is close to averaging a double-double, recording a double-double in two of his last four games.


Inside the Stats – Oregon Ducks

  • PS/G: 74.1 (117th)
  • PA/G: 66.2 (69th)
  • Off Rtg: 106.5 (87th)
  • Def Rtg: 95.2 (76th)

Inside the Stats – USC Trojans

  • PS/G: 75.9 (78th)
  • PA/G: 64.4 (46th)
  • Off Rtg: 109.7 (48th)
  • Def Rtg: 93.1 (35th)

Key Players to Watch

  • OREG - Chris Duarte (17.1 PPG, 4.9 RPG)
  • OREG - Eugene Omoruyi (17.2 PPG, 5.4 RPG)
  • USC - Evan Mobley (17.1 PPG, 8.8 RPG)
  • USC - Tahj Eaddy (13.8 PPG)

Oregon-USC Predictions

It's tough to pick against Oregon here, as the team has all of the momentum entering this game. USC is the better team currently, but Oregon definitely can claim top team in the conference if not for various game cancellations this season. With the spread a bit of a toss up, the OVER seems to be a good choice here.

Each team averages over 70 points per game, while allowing just under that total. Assuming the game is close and that each team can come close to their point total, the OVER should clear.

  • Score Prediction: USC 72 Oregon 66
  • Best Bets: OVER

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