User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto Racing
Horses
More
Betting Tools

 
Bowl Analysis

New Sportsbook.ag customers: Make your 1st bet, get your 2nd bet free, 100%, winnings paid in cash.
Join Now

Already have an account? Click here to view new Exclusive Rewards!

With apologies to friend and fellow handicapper Stan Lisowski, who has made "Off The Top Of My Head" a catch phrase, this is a list of my lines for the bowl games that I made as soon as the matchups came out, off the top of my head, with zero research whatsoever. Some of them are pretty close, others way off, and the ones that are way off certainly are high on my radar as far as potential bowl plays. The following is a list of the bowl, my early line, and then the actual line. They say first impressions are the most important, so let's track these and see what happens! Next year try this exercise yourself. It is not only fun but can be very profitable!

Bowl Line Comparison Chart
Bowl My Line Actual Line
New Mexico BYU -7 BYU -11.5
Humanitarian Fresno -3 Northern Illinois -1
New Orleans Pick Troy -1
St Petersburg S Miss -5 Louisville -3
Las Vegas Boise -6 Boise -17
Poinsettia SDSU -4 No Line
Hawaii Hawaii -7 Hawaii -11
Little Caesars Toledo -3 Toledo -1.5
Independence Ga Tech -3 Air Force -3
Champ Sports Pick West Virginia -3
Insight Iowa -3 Missouri -1
Eagle Bank Maryland -4 Maryland -6
Texas Baylor -1 Baylor -1.5
Alamo Okie St -6 Okie St -6
Armed Forces SMU -7 No Line
Pinstripe K-State -4 K-State -1
Music City UNC -3 UNC -2.5
Holiday Neb -7 Neb -14
Car Care Clemson -4 Clemson -4.5
Sun Miami -6 Miami -3
Liberty Georgia -6 Georgia -6.5
Chi Fil A SC -4 SC -3
Ticket City T-Tech -1 T-Tech -9.5
Outback Pick Florida -7
Capital One 'Bama -7 'Bama -10
Gator Miss St. -3 Miss St. -5.5
Rose Wisc -3 TCU -3
Fiesta Oklahoma -10 Oklahoma -17
Orange Stanford -4 Stanford -3
Sugar Ohio St -6 Ohio St -4
GMAC Pick Miami, Oh -1.5
Cotton LSU -3 LSU -1.5
Birmingham Pitt -4 No Line
Fight Hunger Nevada -6 Nevada -9.5
Championship Auburn -3 Auburn -3

Obviously, my initial line differs greatly in some cases, with Northwestern and Texas Tech being one of the most notable differences, an eight and a half point differential from the actual spread as compared to what I thought it would be. NWU quarterback Persa will have a month of bowl practice to get ready, and his talent, not nerves, will show through in that game. I think the Wildcats +9 is absolutely stealing, and if you only get one thing out of this article, make that nugget be NWU in the Ticket City Bowl, and get yourself a Money Line ticket to cash when this one is done!

Advertisement
I am also very surprised that Southern Miss is getting points from Louisville, as I had USM -5. That is another very live dog in this view. Others to consider, based soley on the line variances, are Fresno State, Utah (Really? +17?). Boise State is good, but this Utah team WAS #6 in the BCS just a month ago, and they NEVER lose bowl games, line is just to high, and might be 14 by game time, so get it now if you like the Utes), Georgia Tech, Iowa, Washington and Wisconsin.

Numerically Penn State would fit as well against Florida in the Outback Bowl, but with the Urban Meyer retirement, the raw data is skewed there, so will have to wait until closer to gametime to make a call there.

I have had back-to-back winning bowl seasons and look to make it three in a row this year. Check my selections out every day or sign up for the Bowl Package; you will be glad you did!
 
The Bowls Are Back in Town…Enjoy!

  
HEADLINES
• Edwards: Friday's Tip Sheet
• Williams: ACC Report - Week 1
• ASA: Big Ten Report - Week 1
• Edwards: Saturday's Tip Sheet
• Williams: Pac-12 Report - Week 1
• Hunter: Top 5 Win Totals
• News: Final Four Consensus Picks
• Edwards: 2014 Big Ten Predictions
• A&M shocks South Carolina, 52-28
MORE HEADLINES
 
2013 CFB SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Joe Williams + 1921
Joe Nelson + 1446
Bruce Marshall + 1350
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Joe Nelson 60 %
Doc's Sports 57 %
Joe Williams 57 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Joe Williams + 1312
Brian Edwards + 580
James Manos + 443
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Joe Williams + 1283
Jimmy Boyd + 966
James Manos + 756
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Mike Rose + 1100
Doc's Sports + 1090
Joe Nelson + 940
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NCAAFB College Football Handicapper Sports Picks Records
MLB Pro Baseball Expert Sports Picks - MLB Playoffs
2014 CFB SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bruce Marshall + 290
ASA + 200
Stephen Nover + 200
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
No Games Last Week  
   
   
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Brian Edwards 100 %
Stephen Nover 100 %
ASA 100 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Mark Franco + 100
ASA + 100
Stephen Nover + 100
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Stephen Nover + 200
Bruce Marshall + 100
Tony Stoffo + 100
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
L. Blankenship + 180
Paul Bovi + 100
Tony Stoffo + 100
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!