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ACC Report - Week 3

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Saturday - Wake Forest at Florida State (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game
Wake Forest at Florida State
The Demon Deacons struggled mightily in their home opener against FCS opponent Liberty, but they looked awfully good in a 28-27 win in their ACC opener at home against North Carolina last weekend. While the Deacs allowed 428 total yards of offense, they managed 426 total yards of offense, markedly improved over their opening effort. Meanwhile, FSU steamrolled FCS punching bag Savannah State by a 55-0 score. And it might have ended up worse, but the game was called due to lightning in the third quarter. On the season, the 'Noles have outscored their opponents 124-3 in about seven quarters of action. However, that was against two FCS opponents. Vegas isn't that thrilled about Wake's win last week, as they are still a four-touchdown dog in Tallahassee. Some might be quick to jump on Wake Forest, as they 6-2 ATS in their past eight games against Florida State. In addition, the underdog is 7-1 ATS during that same span. FSU has the ability to pile up points quickly, but QB Tanner Price could very well keep the Deacs within hailing distance.
Saturday - North Carolina at Louisville (ABC/ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game
North Carolina at Louisville
The Tar Heels were impressive in their opening game thumping of FCS foe Elon, but bettors were sorely disappointed if they risked a lot on North Carolina at Wake Forest last Saturday. UNC looked like such a strong play, too, especially coupled with Wake's performance in their opener. Now, the Heels hit the road for Louisville, a team they are 0-4 ATS against in the past four meetings. The Heels are also 1-4 ATS in their past five road games, and 1-4 ATS in their past five games against Big East opponents. Cardinals QB Teddy Bridgewater has been tremendously efficient in his two starts, completing 49 of 60 passes for 576 yards and two touchdowns. He should find plenty of room to pass against a Carolina defense which allowed 362 passing yards to Wake last weekend. Louisville looks like the must play, but remember, Carolina looked that way going into their game a week ago.
Saturday - Virginia at Georgia Tech (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game
Virginia at Georgia Tech
The Cavaliers of Virginia did enough to slide by beleaguered Penn State last week, 17-16. Still, the Cavaliers have a lot of questions heading into their ACC opener against Georgia Tech in Atlanta. The Ramblin' Wreck bounced back from a disappointing opening game loss at Virginia Tech to thump the Blue Hose of Presbyterian last weekend. The good news for the Cavaliers is that they are 4-1 ATS in their past five conference games. The bad news is that they are 0-4-1 ATS in their past five games in the month of September, and 0-3-1 ATS in the past four games overall. The Jackets are 6-0 ATS in their past six September contests, but 2-5-1 ATS in their past eight games in conference. Really, there are no clear-cut head-to-head trends to hang your hat on. However, the under has cashed five times in the past six meetings between the sides, and the under is 13-3 in Virginia's past 16 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Georgia Tech's past seven ACC games, including Week 1 at Virginia Tech.
Saturday - Boston College at Northwestern (Big-10 Network, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game
Boston College at Northwestern
For the second straight week in the 'two-star' matchup, we get a Brain Bowl. Northwestern is 2-0 ATS and SU this season after dispatching Syracuse on the road (42-41) and Vanderbilt at home (23-13). The Wildcats have looked like they can hang with anyone, so their three- or four-point favorite status raises some eyebrows. A lot of people will be quick to jump all over this one, and rightly so since the Wildcats have done no wrong this season. However, consider this - the Wildcats are just 2-7 ATS in their past nine home games, and 7-15 ATS in their past 22 games in the month of September. In addition, they are just 16-35 ATS in their past 51 games following a straight up win. If you can separate past history involving past players, and look to this year's body of work only, you'll be able to take Northwestern without hesitation. Look at this, though, and you'll see it's not so clear cut. BC is 4-0 ATS in their past four road games, and 4-1 ATS in their past five overall. The better play might be going under on an inflated 54-point O/U line. The Wildcats are 6-1 in their past seven games overall, and 5-0 under in their past five home games. The under is 4-0 in BC's past four games against the Big Ten, 20-7 in their past 27 non-conference games, and 22-5-1 in their past 28 games overall.
Saturday - Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup One-Star Game
Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh
The Hokies are a good, but not great, team. They are 2-0 SU this season, but 0-2 ATS. Meanwhile, the Pitt Panthers have been atrocious so far, losing at home to FCS opponent Youngstown State at home, before being embarrassed on national television by Big East foe Cincinnati on the road. The 10-point spread heading into Pittsburgh looks awfully tempting, but consider that the Hokies are 0-5 ATS in their past five meetings, and 0-4 ATS in their past four trips to Pittsburgh. The underdog is also 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings. However, those past results lend little credence to anything. In fact, if anything, trends are made to be broken, and Virginia Tech is due to bounce back, right? Despite VaTech's less-than-impressive numbers against the spread lately, consider Pitt is 1-5 ATS in their past six non-conference games overall, and 2-8-1 ATS in their past 11 September contests. That makes Virginia Tech look a lot more impressive of a play.
Other Game to Watch
Matchup Notes
Connecticut at Maryland
Maryland looked embarrasingly bad in their opening game win, a 7-6 snoozer against FCS opponent William & Mary. Heading into a game with Temple, it looked like they were going to be whitewashed by the better team. So, of course, they proceeded to thump the Owls 36-27. Their young freshman QB Perry Hills was night-and-day better, throwing for 190 yards, two TDs and no INTs after three picks in the opener. Now, bettors have no idea what to expect. Maryland might be the most unlikely 2-0 team in the nation. Meanwhile, UConn comes in looking to get revenge against their former coach, Randy Edsall. They're also suffering from a sour taste in their mouths after dropping a 10-7 decision to N.C. State last weekend at home. The Huskies will be fighting mad, and that might make them a nice play, especially if you can get them at three points or less. The Terps are 0-7 ATS in their past seven home games, and 1-8 ATS in their past nine games overall.

Nelson: Auburn at Kansas State
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Sportsbook: Auburn faces tough road test
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Rose: Top 25 Betting Recap - Week 3
Dobish: College Betting Recap - Week 3
FSU benches QB Winston for 1st half
WVU's Trickett gets shot at No. 4 Sooners
PSU RB Belton expects bigger run game
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