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Tech Trends - Week 4

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Thursday, Sept. 20
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at BYU at BOISE STATE...Boise 1-7 vs. line last 8 on blue carpet, while BYU 8-2 vs. line its last 10 on the board since mid 2011. Cougs 9-5 vs. line away since 2010, 6-2 last 8 as road dog. BYU, based on team trends.
Friday, Sept. 21
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at BAYLOR at UL-MONROE...Baylor only 5-8 vs. line away since 2010 (but 4-3 as road chalk that span). ULM has covered 5 of last 6 since late last season. ULM, based on team trends.
Saturday, Sept. 22
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at ARMY at WAKE FOREST...Army having lots of trouble away from home lately, just 2-7 vs. line away since 2011. Grobe 19-13-1 vs. line at Winston-Salem since 2007. Wake, based on recent trends.
at CLEMSON at FLORIDA STATE...Dabo has covered last three in series and Clemson actually 6-1 vs. number last 7 meetings since 2005. Dabo 6-2 vs. line away since LY, but Jimbo 14-8 as chalk since 2010. Dabo, based on series trends.
at SOUTH FLORIDA at BALL STATE...Skip roughed up Lembo LY in Tampa by 37-7 count. Skip, however, just 2-10 vs. line last 12 on board after Rutgers loss, and his teams are 2-10 their last 12 as road chalk at USF & ECU (since 2007). Pete Lembo 3-0 vs. line TY. Ball, based on extended Skip road chalk woes.
at MEMPHIS at DUKE...Recalls of Tulane entering Wallace Wade Stadium LY and getting trashed 48-27. Cutcliffe 9-4 vs. line last 13 at Durham, Memphis 10-19 vs. line away since 2007. Duke, based on team trends.
at EASTERN MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE...Tough start for Ron English this season as EMU 0-3 SU and vs. line. Dantonio 4-1 vs. line last 5 laying DD vs. non-Big Ten foes at East Lansing. MSU, based on team trends.
at BOWLING GREEN at VIRGINIA TECH...Beamer on 4-14 spread slide since late in 2010 season, he's also 1-7 last 8 as Blacksburg chalk. BGSU 17-8 as road dog since 2007. BGSU, based on team trends.
at CENTRAL MICHIGAN at IOWA...Dan Enos now 1-14 his last 15 on board with CMU and 3-19 last 22 spread decisions with Chips after covering his first four chances in 2010. Iowa kind of a tough sell at the moment, too, as Ferentz 0-3 vs. line TY, 5-11 since 2011, and 6-14-1 last 21. Slight to Iowa, based on CMU negatives.
at UAB at OHIO STATE...Blazers 8-4 as DD dog since 2010 but that was the doings of previous Callaway regime. Urban Meyer teams still 36-20 last 56 on board at Florida & OSU (but 1-2 TY). Slight to OSU, based on Urban Meyer trends.
at EAST CAROLINA at NORTH CAROLINA...Ruffin McNeill only 4-8 as road dog since 2010. UNC, based on recent ECU road woes.
at TEMPLE at PENN STATE...Temple had its chance to get Penn State LY but let it slip away in 14-10 loss at Linc. Owls 17-8 as dog since 2007, while PSU 2-6-1 vs. points at home since LY and 5-10-1 since 2010. Temple, based on team trends.
at MARYLAND at WEST VIRGINIA...Edsall ended 8-game spread losing streak with Terps vs. Temple. This was a close 37-31 game LY that WVU covered at College Park as a very slight favorite! Edsall was 18-10 as dog with UConn between 2007-10. Holgorsen only 3-4 as Morgantown chalk since taking over Mounties LY. Slight to Maryland, based on extended Edsall marks.
at UTEP at WISCONSIN...Wiscy no covers last 5 since late 2011, but Bielema is 10-6 vs. line at home since 2010. Mike Price only 5-7 as road dog since 2010 (3-4 getting DD). Slight to UTEP, based on recent Wisconsin woes.
at UMASS at MIAMI-OHIO...Miami-Ohio 6-5 as chalk since 2010 but only 6-14 in role since 2007. Slight to UMass, based on extended Miami-O chalk woes.
at VANDERBILT at GEORGIA...Dores have covered 4 of last 6 in series but were routed 43-0 at Athens in 2010. Dores just 2-5 vs. line away for Franklin and 3-9 since 2010 in what was once a pretty good Vandy role. Richt 9-5 as chalk since LY, 7-4 as DD home chalk since 2010. Slight to Georgia, based on recent trends.
at UTAH STATE at COLORADO STATE...Bitter home loss for Utags in this game LY. Rams only 2-5 vs. line at home since LY but are 11-6 as Fort Collins dog since 2007. Utags 0-4 as road chalk LY and 1-6 in role since 2007. CSU, based on team trends.
at RUTGERS at ARKANSAS...Arkansas has covered the last three years in game immediately after Bama (all of those vs. Texas A&M). But absence of Petrino being felt as Hogs 0-3 vs. line at home TY after 11-3 spread mark past two seasons as host. Flood looking to pick up extended Schiano road dog marks for Rutgers (now 9-4-1 in role since '07 after USF win). Rutgers, based on extended road dog marks.
at FRESNO STATE at TULSA...Old WAC rivals also met in 2005 Liberty Bowl with Tulsa prevailing. DeRuyter 3-0 vs. line in early going for Bulldogs and Fresno now 14-7 as road dog since 2007 in what was a good Pat Hill role. Slight to Fresno, based on recent trends.
at MARSHALL at RICE...Herd just 4-10 vs. line away since 2010 (0-2 as road chalk that span). Rice was cooked in home opener by UCLA but extended home spread (19-11 since 2007) and home dog (10-7 since 2007) marks are positive. Rice, based on extended team trends.
at KANSAS at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Weis teams 17-25-3 vs. line last 45 on board at ND & Kansas. NIU lost 45-42 shootout at Lawrence LY. NIU, based on Weis negatives.
at ARIZONA at OREGON...Ducks have turned into Boise and can't seem to cover these big numbers at home, now 0-7-1 last 8 as DD Autzen chalk. Cats have covered 5 of last 7 in series. Arizona, based on Oregon home woes.
at OREGON STATE at UCLA...Bruins won and covered as dog the past two years in series and have covered last 3 and 8 of last 9 against Beavers. UCLA 35-16 vs. line at Rose Bowl since early in 2004 season. Riley, however, has been chalk lately in this series, and note his 21-10-1 dog mark (1-0 2012) since 2007. UCLA, based on series trends.
at VIRGINIA at TCU...Rematch of 2009 game at Charlottesville won easily by Frogs 30-14. Frogs, however, only 5-9 as chalk since LY and 6-8 as Fort Worth favorite since 2010. If Cavs getting DDs note 4-0 spread mark on road in role past two years for Mike London. Virginia, especially if getting DDs, based on recent trends.
at CALIFORNIA at SOUTHERN CAL...Trojans have pretty much owned this series since Tedford's signature win for Golden Bears way back in 2003 in the wild multi-OT 34-31 win over Pete Carroll's SC, the only Trojan loss that year. Tedford has lost 8 in a row to SC since and has covered only one of last seven meetings vs. Troy, pummeled the last three seasons. Tedford 4-9 vs. line away since 2010 and 11-22 since 2006 on road. Lane "Tosh" Kiffin 2-0 SU and vs. line against Tedford. SC, based on series trends.
at COLORADO at WASHINGTON STATE...Leach 0-3 vs. line TY but compared to Buffs that's not bad, as CU is 1-11 vs. mark its last 12 as road dog. Embree lost at home as chalk vs. Cougs LY. WSU, based on CU road dog negatives.
at LSU at AUBURN...Gene Chizik just 5-1` vs. line since Cam left campus after 2010 campaign. Auburn also only 3-6 vs. line as dog since. Les Miles 7-1 as road chalk since 2010 and has won and covered 3 of last 4 vs. Auburn. LSU, based on recent team and series trends.
at MIAMI-FLORIDA at GEORGIA TECH...Tough matchup last three years for GT as it has been hammered on each occasion by the Canes. Al "Touch of" Golden teams at Temple and Miami are 19-10 as a dog since 2007 (4-2 at Miami). Paul Johnson, however, is 3-0 vs. line TY and 5-1 as home chalk since 2011. Miami-Fla., based on series and Al "Touch of" Golden dog trends.
at WYOMING at IDAHO...Robb Akey only 11-18 vs. line at Kibbie Dome (0-1 TY; 7-10 as home dog) since taking over Vandals in 2007. Wyo, however, only 5-15 as chalk since 2007 and 3-8 in role since 2010 (Christensen 0-3 as road chalk since arriving in 2009). Slight to Idaho, based on team trends.
at KENTUCKY at FLORIDA...Florida hasn't lost to UK in ages. Romps for Gators vs. Joker the past two years as Gators have also covered last five meetings. Joker just 3-9 vs. line away since taking over Cats in 2010. Muschamp only 3-5 vs. line at Swamp since taking over LY, however. Florida, based on series trends.
at UCONN at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Pasqualoni lost this game as home chalk LY. Pasqualoni 2-0-1 vs. line TY, although Huskies only 4-8-1 vs. line away since 2010. Cubit, however, 5-1 vs. line at Waldo Stadium since LY (all as chalk). WMU, based on Waldo marks.
at MISSOURI at SOUTH CAROLINA...Tigers' first SEC road game, let's see if this goes better than their first SEC home game. Pinkel was 3-1 as road dog LY but only 6-6 in role since 2007. Spurrier 12-6 vs. line last 18 at Williams-Brice. Rematch of 2-5 Independence Bowl won by Pinkel over Spurrier's first Gamecock team, 38-31. SC, based on recent home mark.
at MICHIGAN at NOTRE DAME...Revenge for Irish after wild loss at Ann Arbor LY. Wolverines have won and covered last three and five of last six meetings since 2006. Note ND just 3-6-3 as home chalk for HC Brian Kelly since 2010, and Irish 7-16-3 in role since 2007. Michigan, based on series and team trends.
at SYRACUSE at MINNESOTA...Marrone vs. Jerry Kill! Cuse just 4-11 vs. line since LY and 1-5 vs. spread away from Carrier Dome. Since late last season, Jerry Kill 6-1-1 last eight on board. Minnesota, based on recent Jerry Kill marks.
at KANSAS STATE at OKLAHOMA...Bill Snyder 6-1 as road dog since 2010, 8-1 last 9 in role since mid 2009. Although he was crushed in home dog role vs. Stoops LY. OU 21-11 as home chalk for Stoops since 2007. K-State, based on Snyder road dog marks.
at NEW MEXICO at NEW MEXICO STATE...Land of Dis-enchantment lately for these two. DeWayne Walker 3-0 SU, 2-1 vs. line past three years vs. Lobos, but now he faces Bob Davie. NMSU 5-2 vs. line at Las Cruces since LY, Ags 3-1 in rare chalk role. Slight to NMSU, based on team and recent series trends.
at AKRON at TENNESSEE...Terry Bowden faces UT for first time since the '90s! Bowden already 1-0 as road dog for Zips which is an upgrade from the 1-5 in role LY and 4-8 in 200-11 under Rob Ianello. Derek Dooley is 9-5 as chalk with Vols since 2010. Slight to UT, based on team trends.
at OLE MISS at TULANE...Hugh "Mr. Pointspread Cover" Freeze now 12-3 vs. line since LY with Ark State & Ole Miss (2-1 with Rebs). Wave got cover for Curtis Johnson in home opener vs. Rutgers but still just 9-22 vs. points at Superdome since 2007. Ole Miss, based on Hugh "Mr. Pointspread Cover" Freeze marks.
at LA TECH at ILLINOIS...Sonny Dykes continuing amazing pointspread run in which his La Tech has now covered nine of last ten since early 2011. Dykes also 9-0 vs. spread last nine away! La Tech, based on team trends.
at UTAH at ARIZONA STATE...Todd Graham teams 19-10 vs. line since 2010 (Tulsa, Pitt, and ASU, where he's 3-0). Kyle Whittingham 8-15 last 23 on board since late 2010. ASU, based on team trends.
at SAN JOSE STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...SJSU 3-0 vs. line TY, 9-2 last 11, and 11-3 last 14 on board. MacIntyre 9-2 as dog since LY for Spartans. Rocky Long's extended chalk numbers at UNM & SDSU very so-so (4-7 with Aztecs and 13-21 last 34 including Lobos since late 2004). SJSU, based on team trends.
at AIR FORCE at UNLV...Note Bobby Hauck's predictable pattern, he's 9-2 as home dog since taking over Rebs in 2010. Home team has covered last six years in series. UNLV, based on Hauck home dog and series pattern.
at NEVADA at HAWAII...Nevada has not won SU vs. Hawaii in Honolulu since the 40s and is 2-7 vs. number last nine at Aloha Stadium (including bowl games, in which it is 1-2 SU and vs. line). Pack did win at this stadium in 2005 Sheraton Hawaii Bowl (but no cover vs. UCF). Chris Ault only 3-6 as road chalk since 2010 and 7-15 in role since 2007. Hawaii, based on Pack road chalk woes.
Saturday, Sept. 22 - Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at FLORIDA ATLANTIC at ALABAMA...Nick 18-8 last 26 laying DD, also 33-16 last 49 on board. FAU 12-21 as road dog since 2007 and 6-13 as DD road dog that span. Bama, based on team trends.
at SOUTHERN MISS at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Tops riding incredible 12-game cover streak! Ellis Johnson 0-2 vs. line at USM. WKU, based on recent trends.
at TROY at NORTH TEXAS...Belt rivals heading opposite directions lately, as Troy 5-10 vs. spread since LY and UNT is 9-4 its last 13 spread decisions since early 2011. UNT, based on recent trends.
at LOUISVILLE at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL...Charlie Strong is 11-2 vs. line on road since 2010! But note Mario Cristobal is 7-2 as home dog for FIU since 2007. Slight to Louisville, based on Charlie Strong road marks.
at SOUTH ALABAMA at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Dan Mullen 6-2 vs. line at Starkville since 2011. MSU, based on team trends.

  
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