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Pac-12 Report - Week 8
October 18, 2012
By Joe Williams
VegasInsider.com
Editor's Note: Don't miss out on college football winners in Week 8 from Joe Williams. Click to win!
Big Ten · ACC · Pac-12
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It's time for the latest installment of 'The Game'. The first thing ANYONE remembers about this rivalry is that amazing series of laterals by Cal, and then the poor trombone player in the end zone getting bowled over while the announcer goes hoarse. I cannot believe I am so old that this famous video is from 30 years ago. Wow. The Cardinal hit the road, losers in their only two road games this season, so this is anything but a slam dunk. Plus, this is a rivalry game, and, as evidenced above, anything can happen. The Cardinal are 4-0-1 ATS in their past five games against a team with a losing record, and 13-2-1 ATS in their past 16 road games. However, Cal is also 6-2 ATS in its past eight conference games. While the road team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings, Stanford is just 3-7-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings. And that includes some good Cardinal teams. |
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It looked like it was all over for Oregon State last week. They lose QB Sean Mannion to injury in the previous game, and QB Cody Vaz would be making his first collegiate start under center against BYU's turgid defense. It turns out this Oregon State team is pretty good, and it isn't just about their QB play. In fact, the Beavers posted their best offensive point total (42) of the season. It was an inexplicable result. So far this season, Oregon State is 4-1 ATS, including 2-1 ATS in conference play this season. The Utes are 5-2 ATS in their past seven games against a team with a winning record, while the Beavers are 1-5 ATS in their past six games against a team with a losing record. Despite last week's Oregon State result, the under might be the best play here. The under is 7-2 in Utah's past nine record games against a team with a winning home record. The under is 8-3-1 in Oregon State's past 12 home games, and 5-1 in their past six against teams with a losing record. |
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The Huskies have not been very good on the road, especially against the number, going 0-6 ATS in their past six games away from Seattle. However, they are 6-0 ATS in their past six games following a bye. Arizona is just 2-5 ATS in their past seven Pac-12 games, and 1-7 ATS in their past eight games after an ATS win. In head-to-head trends, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, while the underdog is 11-3 ATS in the past 14 contests between the sides. Arizona is 2-1 ATS at home this season, but seven and a hook might be a bit much. While Washington is 0-2 SU and ATS on the road this season, those two games were at LSU and at Oregon. There aren't many teams that would have success in those two graveyards for opponents. |
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Colorado has been putrid this season, and with games at USC, at Oregon and then home to Stanford, things aren't looking up anytime soon. Colorado is 1-5 SU and ATS this season, covering in their only win at Washington State, another terrible team. Meanwhile, while USC is 5-1 SU, they too are 1-5 ATS. Do you have the nerve to take a bad Colorado team getting anywhere from 40 to 41 points? That is a confusing pick, but so too is the total. The over is 6-1 in Colorado's past seven games following an ATS loss, and straight up loss. The under is 4-0 in USC's past four home games, and 4-1 in their past five Pac-12 games. The under is also 5-2 in USC's past seven games overall. It might be a good idea to steer far clear of this one. |
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