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Pac-12 Report - Week 10

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Big Ten  ·   ACC  ·   Pac-12

Saturday - Oregon at Southern California (FOX, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game
Oregon at Southern California
This game lost a little luster when USC lost to Stanford earlier in the season, and then to Arizona last week on the road. However, it is still the best game of the weekend in the Pac-12, and very important. Oregon is 4-1 ATS in their past five games overall, and 4-1 ATS in their past five Pac-12 contests. More importantly, the Ducks are 7-3-1 ATS in their past 11 games against a team with a winning record, and the favorite is 6-2 ATS in the past eight matchups in this series. For USC, they have struggled to cover, going just 2-6 ATS in their past eight games overall, although they are 4-1 ATS in their past five games in the Coliseum. This is a big matchup with national championship implications for Oregon. The line is a toss-up, but the under might be the way to go. The under has come in four times in the past five meetings at the Coliseum. In addition, the under is 5-0 in USC's past five home games, 5-2 in their past seven Pac-12 games and 6-1 in their past seven games on grass. For Oregon, the under is actually 5-1 in their past six road games against a team with a winning home record, but all other signs point to the over.
Saturday - Arizona State at Oregon State (ESPN2, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game
Arizona State at Oregon State
This game loses a little luster following Oregon State's upset loss last week in Seattle to Washington. The Beavers apparently didn't like what they saw physically from QB Sean Mannion (knee), who was coming off a knee injury, so they will go back to QB Cody Vaz this weekend. He gave them a jump-start last week, and led two victories in Mannion's absence before that. The Sun Devils come in 0-3-1 ATS in their past four games on field turf. However, the underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings, and the road team is also 3-0-1 in the past four matchups. That points to AZ State covering. The Beavs are 5-0-1 ATS in their past six games against teams with a winning record, and 6-2-1 ATS in their past nine games, but there is now doubt about this team following last week's loss. They need to only cover a small number at home, but based on AZ State's recent history in this series, the Sun Devils might actually be the play.
Saturday - Arizona at UCLA (Pac-12 Network, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game
Arizona at UCLA
Coach Rich Rodriguez picked up one of the biggest wins for Arizona in some time when they vanquished USC last weekend at home. The Wildcats are now riding high into their game at UCLA, but remain winless (0-2) on the road this season. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their past six games on grass, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven games overall. Meanwhile, UCLA is just 8-17 ATS in their past 25 Pac-12 games, and 3-8 ATS in their past 11 games following an ATS win, and 4-10 ATS in their past 14 games following a straight-up victory. More importantly, Arizona is 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings, although the home team is 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings, and the home team is 7-2 ATS in the past nine matchups.
Saturday - Stanford at Colorado (FX, 2:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game
Stanford at Colorado
The Colorado Buffaloes and their faithful probably wish their team joined the Mountain West or WAC instead of bolting the Big 12 for the Pac-12. It's been a forgettable journey that is only getting worse by the week. Colorado is just 5-16 ATS in their past 21 games against a team with a winning record, and 7-21-1 ATS in their past 29 games overall. They are also 0-4 ATS in their past four home games. It's a big number for Stanford, anywhere between 27-28 points on the road. The Cardinal have had success away from Palo Alto, going 15-5-1 ATS in their past 21 road games, and 6-2 ATS in their past eight roadies against a team with a losing record.
Saturday - Washington State at Utah (Pac-12 Network, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup One-Star Game
Washington State at Utah
It's hard to believe, but both of these teams can still qualify for a bowl if they get their acts together. Washington State has a taller order, because one more loss and they're done. They face an uphill battle, too, as they are 0-3-1 ATS in their past four games against a team with a losing record, although they are 4-1-1 ATS in their past six road contests against a team with a losing home record. Utah is 5-2 ATS in their past seven home games, and 18-7-1 ATS in their past 26 games against a team with a losing record. The total might actually be the better play, as the under is 5-1 in the Cougs' past six games away from the Palouse. The under is also 5-2 in Utah's past seven home games against a team with a losing road record.

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