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NORTHWESTERN at MICHIGAN...Fitzgerald superb 8-1 vs. line TY, although most of the damage has come at Evanston (6-0 vs. line at home, 2-1 vs. spread away). Cats were 3-8 vs. line away past two years. Brady Hoke 7-4 vs. spread at Ann Arbor since LY but only 4-5 against spread overall TY. NU has covered 3 of last 4 in series. |
NU, based on team trends. |
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MARYLAND at CLEMSON...Clemson on uptick with six straight covers TY. Tigers 7-4 vs. line at home since LY. |
Slight to Clemson, based on team trends. |
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WAKE FOREST at NC STATE...Tom O'Brien has dropped last three vs. number TY but is still 29-13 vs. spread after fifth game of season at NCS since 2007. Home team has covered last five in series. Pack 11-4-1 vs. line at Raleigh since 2010, Grobe only 6-8 as road dog since 2010. |
Slight to NCS, based on team trends. |
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ARMY at RUTGERS...West Point no covers first three away TY and 2-9 vs. line away from Michie since LY. Rutgers 6-1 vs. line last seven in series, but Scarlet Knights 0-3 as DD chalk TY. |
Rutgers, based on West Point road negatives. |
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LOUISVILLE at SYRACUSE...Cards 1-2 vs. line away TY after Charlie Strong was 11-2 against spread away the previous two years. |
Slight to Cuse, based on recent trends. |
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MIAMI-FLORIDA at VIRGINIA...Cavs 1-7 vs. line last 8 TY. Al "Touch of" Golden still has some spread magic with 13-9 spread mark at Miami since LY. Mike London, however, 2-0 SU and vs. line against Canes. |
Slight to Miami, based on recent Uva negatives. |
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MINNESOTA at ILLINOIS...Illini no wins or covers last five TY. Illini 5-8 vs. line at home since LY. Gophers have won as DD dog vs. Illini past two years. Gophers are 0-3 vs. line away TY but 8-5-1 last 13 on board since late LY. |
Minnesota, based on team trends. |
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WISCONSIN at INDIANA...IU on 5-game cover streak TY, Bielema 4-1 vs. line last 5 but Badgers only six covers last 17 on board (6-10-1). Badgers 5-1-1 vs. line last 7 meetings and destroyed IU last two years by 142-27 total score. |
IU, based on recent trends. |
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PURDUE at IOWA...Neither doing too much lately, Purdue 1-5 vs. line last five TY, Iowa 2-7 against spread in 2012. Ferentz just 7-15 vs. points since 2011. Danny Hope, however, is 2-0 as road dog TY. |
Slight to Purdue, based on Iowa negatives. |
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VANDERBILT at OLE MISS...Hugh "Pointspread Cover" Freeze now 7-2 vs. line with Ole Miss and 17-4 vs. spread since LY at Ark State & Miss. Although this series has been quite Vandy-oriented lately, with Dores 4-1 SU and vs. line last five in this SEC crossover series. |
Ole Miss, based on Hugh Freeze numbers. |
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GEORGIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA...Nine games into this season and the home team has covered in every UNC game (Heels 5-0 vs. spread at Chapel Hill!). And Paul Johnson has lost his spread magic, just 3-10 last 13 and 4-13 last 17 on board since early 2011. |
UNC, based on recent trends. |
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CENTRAL MICHIGAN at EASTERN MICHIGAN...CMU just 5-24 vs. line its last 29 on board for Dan the Man Enos. But can we trust EMU? Eagles have covered last two at Ypsilanti TY but still just 7-18 vs. line at Rynearson Stadium since 2007. |
Slight to EMU, based on extended CMU woes. |
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KENT STATE at MIAMI-OHIO...Kent State 6-1 vs. line last 7 TY; Miami-O just 2-6 vs. line in 2012 (even with Ohio upset). |
Kent State, based on recent trends. |
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IDAHO at BYU...Sarah Palin's alma mater UI, now coached by Jason Gesser, no covers last 6 of 7 of last 8 TY. Bronco Mendenhall 8-3 as DD chalk since 2010 (2-1 TY). |
BYU, based on team trends. |
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UMASS at AKRON...UMass slumping again with four straight spread Ls (2-7 vs. line overall). Zips 1-4 vs. line at InfoCision Stadium TY but 1-0 as rare chalk (Morgan State), and Zips actually 3-1 as rare chalk since 2010. |
Slight to Akron, based on team trends. |
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WESTERN MICHIGAN at BUFFALO...Bulls 1-4 vs. line at UB Stadium TY, and just 12-21 vs. points since Jeff Quinn took over in 2010. |
WMU, based on Buffalo negatives. |
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TEXAS A&M at ALABAMA...Note road team 7-2 vs. line in Tide games TY (Bama 1-3 as host vs. line). But Nick 31-17 last 48 vs. number. Sumlin 0-2 as dog TY and 1-6 in role since 2010 with Houston & A&M. |
Slight to Bama, based on team trends. |
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GEORGIA at AUBURN...Tigers a very tough sell with 3-6 spread mark TY and 8-14 vs. line post-Cam Newton. Richt 10-6 vs. line away since 2010 (6-6 road chalk). Richt 5-1 SU, 4-2 vs. line last six vs. Auburn, only SU loss vs. Cam in 2010. |
Georgia, based on Auburn negatives. |
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PENN STATE at NEBRASKA...O'Brien 7-1 vs. line last eight TY and 4-0 vs. line on road. Bo Pelini 4-1 vs. spread at home in 2012 (home team is 7-1 vs. line in Husker games TY) and has covered 5 of last 6 at Lincoln, but is only 9-13-1 overall vs. spread last 23 since late 2010. |
Slight to Penn State, based on recent trends. |
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NOTRE DAME at BOSTON COLLEGE...Irish have won last three in series SU (only 1-2 vs. line in those games, however) after BC had won six in a row previous. Still, Eagles 5-3 vs. line last eight meetings. Yet Irish are 4-0 vs. line away TY and Spaziani just 2-7 vs. number overall, and Spaziani only 2-5 as home dog since 2010. |
ND, based on recent trends. |
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ARIZONA STATE at SOUTHERN CAL...Tosh.O Kiffin 2-7 vs. line TY Todd Graham 22-13-1 as dog in career at Rice (206), Tulsa (2007-10), Pitt (2011), and ASU (2012). Revenge for Tosh.O after loss to Erickson LY but Sun Devils have covered last three in series. |
Arizona State, based on team trends. |
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UTAH at WASHINGTON...Huskies are 4-1 vs. line at Seahawks' CenturyLink Field since LY. Utah 0-4 SU, 1-3 vs. line away TY. Whittingham only 7-7 as dog since 2010. |
Slight to UW, based on recent trends. |
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WYOMING at NEW MEXICO...Lobos 5-2 vs. line last seven TY for Bob Davie and 10-4 last 14 on board overall. Dave Christensen is one of the two coaches (Steve Fairchild the other) to have lost a game to a Mike Locksley-coached New Mexico team. |
New Mexico, based on team trends. |
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SAN JOSE STATE at NEW MEXICO STATE...SJSU 7-2 vs. line TY, 10-2 last 12 since late 2011, 15-6 last 21 on board. Spartans have also covered last seven on road and are 4-2 as chalk TY. |
SJSU, based on team trends. |
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OREGON at CAL...Ducks have failed to cover last 3 at Berkeley and home team is 5-1 vs. spread last six in this series. Bears, however, just 1-5 vs. line since moving back into Berkeley TY, and Ducks 7-2 vs. spread away since LY. |
Oregon, based on team trends. |
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WEST VIRGINIA at OKLAHOMA STATE...WVU 1-6 last seven vs. spread TY, OSU 4-1 at Stillwater vs. number. Gundy 21-8 as home chalk since 2007, though Holgorsen 4-1 as dog since LY. |
OSU, based on team trends. |
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KANSAS STATE at TCU...Bill Snyder 7-2 vs. line TY and 16-6 since a year ago, also 11-5 last 16 vs. spread away from home. |
KSU, based on recent trends. |
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CINCINNATI at TEMPLE...Owls wobbling, destroyed last three games and only 2-5 last seven vs. number in 2012. |
Cincy, based on recent trends. |
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MISSOURI at TENNESSEE...Derek Dooley 0-5 vs. line at Knoxville TY. Dooley 8-3 as chalk previous two seasons but only 1-4 in role TY. |
Mizzou, based on recent Derek Dooley home woes. |
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IOWA STATE at TEXAS...Mack just 5-12 vs. spread at Austin since 2010. Paul Rhoads 8-4 last 12 on board and 11-7 as dog sicne LY. |
ISU, based on team trends. |
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AIR FORCE at SAN DIEGO STATE...SDSU 3-3 vs. line at home and as chalk TY, AFA only 1-3 vs. line away after 5-1 mark LY. But Force 1-0 as road dog TY and 5-2 in role since 2010. Quick note that Rocky Long was 0-5 vs. spread last five vs. AFA while New Mexico HC before winning 41-27 with Aztecs LY. SDSU has also covered last three in series. |
Air Force, based on team trends. |
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SOUTHERN MISS at SMU...USM 0-9 SU and 2-7 vs. line TY. Meanwhile, June Jones has covered 4 of last 5 as host. |
SMU, based on recent trends. |
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MARSHALL at UAB...Herd 2-0-1 vs. line last three away TY. Herd has won and covered big the last three meetings in series including 59-14 LY. |
Marshall, based on recent trends. |
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TULSA at HOUSTON...This one always recalls the 100-6 UH blowout in 1968. Levine only 3-6 vs. line TY in UH debut, Tulsa 12-6 vs. spread away since 2010. |
Tulsa, based on team trends. |
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UNLV at COLORADO STATE...Rebs have covered last two as visitor after 1-17 previous 18 away. And UNLV 7-3 vs. line TY. CSU only 2-6 vs. line last 8 TY (and 1-7 SU last 8). |
UNLV, based on recent trends. |
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BOISE STATE at HAWAII...Norm Chow no wins or covers last six TY. Boise 3-1 vs. line away TY, and 25-7 last 32 vs. spread away from blue carpet. |
Boise State, based on team trends. |
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UCLA at WASHINGTON STATE...Leach 0-3 vs. line in Pullman TY, Mora 3-1 vs. points away from home. |
UCLA, based on recent trends. |
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UCF at UTEP...Miners no covers last two at home TY and 1-4 last five on board, only cover via backdoor at Houston. Mike Price 15-27 vs. spread last five games of season since taking over at UTEP in 2004. O'Leary 3-1 vs. line away TY. |
UCF, based on team trends. |
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COLORADO at ARIZONA...Buffs 2-13 as road dog since 2010 season, and Jon Embree 5-17 vs. line since LY. Rich-Rod 5-2 vs. line last seven TY. |
Arizona, based on CU/Embree woes. |
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ARKANSAS at SOUTH CAROLINA...John L. 1-7 (2-7 counting Kentucky) vs. line TY. Spurrier no covers last two in 2012 but had covered previous six and is 8-3 last 11 on board since late LY. Big revenge for Spurrier after losing and failing to cover big last three vs. the Petrino Razorbacks. |
SC, based on recent trends. |
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KANSAS at TEXAS TECH...Weis 1-3 vs. line away TY, KU now 3-8 last 10 vs. points away from home. Red Raiders have also won and covered last three in series, encompassing various coaching regimes. |
Texas Tech, based on team and series trends. |
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LA TECH at TEXAS STATE...Sonny Dykes finally failed to cover on road when falling short at NMSU, but LT had covered 13 straight away from Ruston prior to that one. |
La Tech, based on team trends. |
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BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA...Stoops in revenge mode after loss at Baylor LY, Stoops 4-2 vs. line last six in revenge. Baylor 4-8 vs. line last 12 away from Waco, though Stoops only 5-5 as Norman chalk since LY. |
Slight to OU, based on team trends. |
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TULANE at MEMPHIS...Wave on the ascent, covers last 4 and 4-0-1 last four vs. line TY. Memphis has covered last two at Liberty Bowl TY but Tigers just 3-5 vs. line overall for Fuente TY and still just 6-10 vs. spread at home since 2010. |
Tulane, based on recent trends. |
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OREGON STATE at STANFORD...Ugh! Tree only 2-3 vs. line at home TY, while OSU is 4-0 as dog TY. Mike Riley 24-10-1 as dog since 2007. |
OSU, based on team trends. |
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MISSISSIPPI STATE at LSU...Dan Mullen 3-7 vs. line away since LY, 3-8 last 11 as dog, and LSU has won and covered handily last two years. |
Slight to LSU, based on team trends. |
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FRESNO STATE at NEVADA...Wolf Pack no covers last five TY, Fresno 8-1 vs. number in 2012. Nevada 0-4 vs. line at home TY, 1-7 last 8 at home. |
Fresno, based on recent trends. |
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