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ACC Report - Week 13

Editor's Note: Don't miss out on college football winners in Week 13 from Joe Williams. Click to win!

We're heading into the final week of regular season play in the Atlantic Coast Conference, and it's like the grand finale at a July 4th fireworks show. The top two games in particular will have national interest, and some of the other regional rivalries are very, very important to the on-field combatants, as well as the fans. This should be a very fun weekend.

Joe Williams's ACC Season Picks:
Period: 8/31/2012 to 11/17/2012
Pick Type: All Picks
Record: 23-13-0 ( 63.9% , +875)
Week Record Total
Week 12 (Nov. 15-17) 1-0   Won (+ 100) 
Week 11 (Nov. 8-10) 2-1   Won (+ 100) 
Week 10 (Nov. 1-3) 3-1   Won (+ 200) 
Week 9 (Oct. 25-27) 0-4   Lost (- 445) 
Week 8 (Oct. 18-20) 2-0   Won (+ 200) 
Week 7 (Oct. 11-13) 0-0   - (+/-0) 
Week 6 (Oct. 4-6) 2-1   Won (+90) 
Week 5 (Sept. 27-29) 3-1  Won (+190) 
Week 4 (Sept. 19-22) 3-1  Won (+190) 
Week 3 (Sept. 13-15) 3-2  Won (+80) 
Week 2 (Sept. 6-8) 2-1  Won (+90) 
Week 1 (Aug. 31-Sept. 3) 2-1  Won (+80) 
Saturday - South Carolina at Clemson (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game
South Carolina at Clemson
The war of words has been going on all week, and one of my favorite quotes of the year popped up again this week. "South Carolina has mouths like Alabama, and a trophy case like Vanderbilt." - unnamed. The Palmetto State rivalry is alive and well, and will certainly be heated in the upstate Saturday night. The Gamecocks have seemed to shake off the loss of RB Marcus Lattimore (knee) surprisingly well. They finished that game with a win against Tennessee, and rattle off two straight against Arkansas and Wofford. But, what they didn't see the past two weeks is a blitzkreig offense like the Tigers employ. Clemson has a quick strike passing attack, and a very good running game, which could give South Carolina fits all evening. USC has failed to cover in three of their past four games, while Clemson has covered seven of their past eight games, barely missing the number last week by a mere one point. The Gamecocks have covered five of the past six in this series, but the home team is also 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. Give the slight edge to Clemson, who will likely be engaged in a very close battle for most of the game until pulling away late.
Saturday - Florida at Florida State (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game
Florida at Florida State
In most weeks, this battle of Top 10 teams would get top billing, and it still might from many others. Still, when I think ACC, I tend to think Clemson well before Florida State, and all things equal, I think both rivalry games will be fierce. Really, they're both five-star, prime matchups. The Gators are 4-1 ATS in their past five road games, but they are just 1-4 ATS in their past five non-conference tilts, and 0-4 ATS in their past four games overall. The Seminoles haven't been much better, going 2-6 ATS against the number in their past eight games, and 2-6 ATS in their past eight home contests against a team with a winning road record. In this series, the favorite is an impressive 13-3 ATS in the past 16 meetings, and the home team is 13-5 ATS in the past 18 meetings. That points to a potential FSU cover, as does the fact Florida is just 2-6 ATS in their past eight matchups with the 'Noles. The under might also be a good play. The under is 6-0 in Florida's past six non-conference games, and the under is 9-1 in Florida's past 10 against ACC opponents. The under is 13-3 in FSU's past 16 battles against SEC teams, and the under is 11-1 in FSU's past 11 non-conference games. The under is also 7-1 in the past eight meetings between the sides in Tallahassee, and 7-1 in the past eight meetings overall.
Saturday - Georgia Tech at Georgia (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game
Georgia Tech at Georgia
Even a month ago, Georgia Tech did not look like a bowl-bound team, but they have secured a spot in the ACC Championship Game, representing the beleaguered Coastal Division, and they are now bowl eligible with six wins. They're certainly love to keep building their resume with a signature win over their bitter rivals from Athens, though. GT is 4-1 ATS in their past five games overall, although just 1-4 ATS in their past five against non-conference foes. Georgia is 9-3-1 ATS in its past 13 matchups against ACC opponents, but just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 home games. UGA is also an uninspiring 0-4 ATS in their past four non-conference battles. Georgia Tech is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings at Sanford Stadium, and the road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings.
Saturday - Miami (Fla.) at Duke (ACC Network/ESPN3, 12:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game
Miami at Duke
Until a couple of weeks ago, this game was shaping up as the play-in game for the ACC Championship Game berth from the Coastal Division. But Miami has banned themselves from a bowl a second consecutive season, and Duke had their doors blown off by Georgia Tech last week, giving the Yellow Jackets a ticket to postseason play. Duke is already bowl eligible, and can greatly improve their standing with a win Saturday. The Hurricanes have covered five straight games, and they are 12-2 ATS in their past 14 ACC battles, but it will be interesting to see how the kids respond after having their bowl game taken away. Miami is also 7-2 ATS in their past nine road games. Duke has been no slouch at home, either. The Blue Devils are 8-1 ATS in their past nine games at Wallace Wade Stadium, losing their last game against the number on a chilly night Nov. 3 against a high-powered Clemson offense. The Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their past five ACC games, and 1-6 ATS in their past six games in the month of November. As such, Miami is installed as about a one-touchdown favorite.
Saturday - Vanderbilt at Wake Forest (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup One-Star Game
Vanderbilt at Wake Forest
Wake Forest can still gain bowl eligibility with a win, but they have a tall order against a very talented Vanderbilt team visiting BB&T Field Saturday. The Commodores have covered four straight games, and they are 5-2 ATS in the past seven games against teams with a losing record. The 'Dores are just 2-5 ATS in their past seven games against ACC opponents, however. The Deacs haven't been great lately, but they are 5-2 ATS in their past seven matchups with SEC opponents. However, they are 0-5 ATS in their past five games against a team with a winning record. All signs point to a Vanderbilt win and cover, especially since the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings between these sides.
Saturday - Maryland at North Carolina (ESPN GamePlan/ESPN3, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Other Game to Watch
Maryland at North Carolina
The Terrapins face a 25-point deficit in their final game of the season, and the Tar Heels also wrap up their regular season due to a postseason ban. The Terps are just 6-16 ATS in their past 22 games, and 3-10 ATS in their past 13 ACC battles. Meanwhile, the Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in their past eight home battles. Those facts might convince you UNC will win in a blowout, but the Terps are 8-1 ATS in the past nine meetings in this series, and 4-1 ATS in the past five trips to Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill.
Saturday - North Carolina State at Boston College (ESPN3, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Other Game to Watch
North Carolina State at Boston College
Somehow, the Wolfpack is eligible for a bowl game, although the feeling around Raleigh is that head coach Tom O'Brien might have just this game, and the mid-tier bowl, before he is searching for another job. A loss to his previous employer at home this weekend would really get the natives in a tizzy. Boston College is 5-1 ATS in the past six games in November, although they are 2-5 ATS in their past seven ACC battles, and 0-5 ATS in their past five road games. N.C. State is 6-1 ATS in the past seven home games against a team with a losing record, and 8-3-1 ATS in the past 12 games overall at Carter-Finley Stadium. However, they are 8-17 ATS in their past 25 games against a team with a losing record. In this series, though, the home team is 7-0 ATS in the past seven matchups.
Saturday - Virginia at Virginia Tech (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Other Game to Watch
Virginia at Virginia Tech
The battle of Virginia is usually a fierce game, and this year will be no different. However, it is more because each team is rather mediocre, and evenly matched. Virginia can deal their rivals a huge blow, dropping the Hokies to 5-7 and thus out of the bowl picture. Virginia, however, is just 1-4 ATS in their past five road games, and 1-7 ATS in their past eight conference games. In addition, the Cavaliers are an abysmal 1-11-1 ATS in their past 13 games overall. Virginia Tech has been equally poor against the number, going 1-7 ATS in their past eight games against a team with a losing record, and 3-7-1 ATS in their past 11 games at Lane Stadium. The Cavaliers are just 1-7 ATS in the past eight meetings in this series, and 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Blacksburg. The favorite is also 9-1 ATS in the past 10 matchups. Looking at the total, the under is 5-0 in the past five battles at Lane Stadium, and the under is 17-8 in the past 25 for UVA, and 6-2-1 in Virginia Tech's past nine games against a team with a losing record.

· Edwards: 2018 Quarterback Rankings
· BetDSI: Handicapping Vanderbilt (5)
· Edwards: Changes in Gainesville
· BetDSI: Handicapping Tennessee (5.5)
· Lawrence: 2018 ACC Preview
· BetDSI: Handicapping Arkansas (5.5)
· Lawrence: 2018 AAC Preview
· Edwards: Backing the Gamecocks
· BetDSI: Handicapping Kentucky (6)
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Joe Williams + 805
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